LSU vs Florida Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/4/23

Florida Gators (15-15) vs LSU Tigers (13-17)

Game Info: Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 6:00 pm (Stephen C. O'Connell Center)

Betting Odds: Florida Gators -7.5 -- Over/Under: 141.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The LSU Tigers will play the Florida Gators in a SEC game on Saturday evening at Exactech Arena in Gainesville, Florida.

LSU Preview

The LSU Tigers are 13-17 (2-15) this season after they lost to Missouri by a score of 81-76 in their last game. LSU shot 42.9% from the field and made 14 three pointers in the game. The LSU Tigers are averaging 67.5 points per game, 70.4 points against per game, 34.4 rebounds per game, and 12.4 assists per game. KJ Williams has led the Tigers this season with 17.3 points per game, 7.5 rebounds per game, and 1.2 steals per game. LSU is shooting 41.5% from the field, 71.9% on free throws, and 33.7% on three pointers this year.

Florida Preview

The Florida Gators are 15-15 (8-9) this season after they defeated Georgia by a score of 77-67 in their last game. Florida shot 53.7% from the field and was -2 in rebounding margin in the game. The Florida Gators are averaging 71.8 points per game, 68.7 points against per game, 34.7 rebounds per game, and 12.4 assists per game. Will Richard has led the Gators this season with 10.5 points per game, 4.4 rebounds per game, and 0.8 assists per game. Florida is shooting 44% from the field, 72.3% on free throws, and 32.1% on three pointers this year.

Trends

LSU is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games and 4-17 ATS in their last 21 Saturday games. The over is 4-0 in LSU’s last 4 games. Florida is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The over is 7-1 in Florida’s last 8 games. The road team is 7-2-1 ATS in these two teams last 10 head to head meetings.

Pick

LSU has been horrible this season and they only have two conference wins on the year. Florida is missing their leading scorer and has lost three of their last four games, but they did beat Georgia in their last game. LSU is only shooting 41.5% from the field and will be on the road for this game. Florida is the better team in just about every metric, but the absence of Castleton is huge. I like LSU with the points in this one.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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