New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/3/23

Colorado State Rams (13-17) vs New Mexico Lobos (21-9)

Game Info: Friday, March 3, 2023 at 11:00 pm (Moby Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado State Rams +2 -- Over/Under: 155 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado State Rams will host the New Mexico Lobos in Mountain West play from the Moby Arena on FS1. UNM leads the all-time series, 79-50, after opening conference play with a win over CSU back in December.

New Mexico improved to 21-9 after beating Fresno State in Albuquerque. The Lobos maintained the lead throughout the contest and they downed the Bulldogs by fourteen, 94-80. UNM scores 82.1 points per game, while allowing 71.5 ppg, and shooting 49.1% from the field.

New Mexico was hit hard by the injury bug and the growing competitive nature of the conference last month, but they aren’t out of the postseason picture just yet. UNM got a much needed win on Tuesday, and a win here would leave them with one of the most compelling resumes on the bubble. The Lobos are 8-9 in MWC play, with a 5-5 record. The backcourt pairing of Jamal Mashburn Jr. and Jaelen House give New Mexico a potent combo in the backcourt. Mashburn scored 20 points against SDSU last week, and he leads the Lobos in scoring (19.4). House has returned to form since missing a patch of last month, and after scoring 24 points in the win over Fresno, he’s up to 17.1 ppg and team-leading 4.7 apg. Senior forward Morris Udeze scored a game-high 25 points against the Bulldogs, and he’s scoring 16.1 ppg, while grabbing a team-lead 9.3 rpg. 

Colorado State dropped to 13-17 after losing to San Jose State. The Rams were strapped up by the Spartans, and after being held to their lowest offensive output of the season they’d fall by seventeen, 63-46. Colorado State is scoring 73.3 points per game, while allowing 71.7 ppg, and shooting 49.4% from the floor.

Colorado State has traded their last six games, and they face an uphill battle if they’d like to salvage the season and win their home finale. The Rams are 5-12 in MWC play, with a 8-7 home record. Senior guard Isaiah Stevens has been their most consistent player this season, and after double-doubling in the win over Wyoming, he leads the Rams in scoring (18.0) and assists (6.5). Fellow veteran guard John Tonje went for a team-high 25 points against the Cowboys and he’s averaging 14.0 ppg and 4.9 rpg. Senior forward Patrick Cartier (12.4 ppg) was the lone Ram to show up in San Jose, scoring an efficient 17 points.

New Mexico is 15-12-2 against the spread this season, with a 19-10 over/under record. Colorado State is 11-18 ATS this year, with a 17-11-1 o/u record.

Colorado State has truly felt the loss of star forward David Roddy this season, and it’s unlikely they rally to play spoiler here. New Mexico needs to win this game to finish below the 10-loss margin, and with a strong showing at the conference tournament, they’re a real threat to steal an at-large bid. Trust the Pitino bloodline in a must-win situation, and take New Mexico’s margin for this MWC contest.

Corey’s Pick New Mexico -2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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