Valparaiso at Murray State Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/2/23

Murray State Racers (16-14) vs Valparaiso Beacons (11-20)

Game Info: Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Enterprise Center)

Betting Odds: Murray State Racers -3 -- Over/Under: 144.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Valparaiso Beacons will play the Murray State Racers in the first round of the MVC Tournament at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri.

Valparaiso Preview

The Valparaiso Beacons are 11-20 (5-15) this season after they lost to Murray State by a score of 77-76 in overtime. Valparaiso shot 47.1% from the field and recorded 34 rebounds in the loss. The Valparaiso Beacons are averaging 69.5 points per game, 73.5 points against per game, 33.9 rebounds per game, and 13.6 assists per game. Ben Krikke has led the Beacons this season with 19.6 points per game, 5.9 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game. Valparaiso is shooting 44.3% from the field, 72.7% on free throws, and 30.4% on three pointers this year.

Murray State Preview

The Murray State Racers are 16-14 (11-9) this season after they defeated Valpo by a score of 77-76 in overtime in their last game. Murray State shot 45.9% from the field and made 15 free throws in the win. The Murray State Racers are averaging 70.5 points per game, 72.7 points against per game, 34.6 rebounds per game, and 11.8 assists per game. Rob Perry has led the Racers this season with 14.1 points per game, 4.5 rebounds per game, and 1.9 assists per game. Murray State is shooting 44.2% from the field, 73.9% on free throws, and 33.2% on three pointers this year.

Trends

Valparaiso is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 8-2 in Valparaiso’s last 10 games. Murray State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The over is 14-3 in Murray State’s last 17 games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings.

Pick

These two teams played a great game to end the regular season, with Murray State sneaking away with the home win. Murray State also won the first meeting between these two teams by a score of 77-70. Murray State has won three of their last four games, while Valparaiso has lost four games in a row. It is very tough to beat a team three times in one season and two times in a row, so I like Valparaiso in this game.

David’s Pick Valparaiso +3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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