San Diego State at Boise State Prediction - Basketball Picks 2/28/23

Boise State Broncos (22-7) vs San Diego State Aztecs (23-5)

Game Info: Tuesday, February 28, 2023 at 9:00 pm (ExtraMile Arena)

Betting Odds: Boise State Broncos -1.5 -- Over/Under: 133.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego State Aztecs will play the Boise State Broncos in a Mountain West game on Tuesday night at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, Idaho.

San Diego State Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 23-5 (14-2) this season after they defeated New Mexico by a score of 73-71 in their last game. San Diego State shot 44.3% from the field and was +11 in rebounding margin in the win. The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 73.6 points per game, 64.9 points against per game, 35.5 rebounds per game, and 13.9 assists per game. Matt Bradley has led the Aztecs this season with 13 points per game, 3.9 rebounds per game, and 2.3 assists per game. San Diego State is shooting 45.4% from the field, 72.6% on free throws, and 36% on three pointers this year.

Boise State Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 22-7 (12-4) this season after they lost to San Jose State in overtime by a score of 74-68 in their last game. Boise State shot 41.5% from the field and was -21 in rebounding margin in the loss. The Boise State Broncos are averaging 72.3 points per game, 63.1 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 11.3 assists per game. Tyson Degenhart has led the Broncos this season with 14.3 points per game, 5.4 rebounds per game, and 1.9 assists per game. Boise State is shooting 45.5% from the field, 73.5% on free throws, and 36.2% on three pointers this year.

Trends

San Diego State is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. The under is 5-1 in San Diego State’s last 6 games. Boise State is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. The over is 4-1 in Boise State’s last 5 games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings.

Pick

Both of these teams are at the top of the Mountain West standings, but San Diego State has a two game lead on the Broncos. Boise State had a very poor showing in their last game, but they will be at home for this matchup. San Diego State continues to win on the road, but they have only won their last three road games by two points each. These two teams have very similar metrics, but I think the home court advantage will be the difference. I like Boise State here.

David’s Pick Boise State -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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