Fresno State at New Mexico Prediction - Basketball Picks 2/28/23

New Mexico Lobos (20-9) vs Fresno State Bulldogs (10-18)

Game Info: Tuesday, February 28, 2023 at 10:30 pm (The Pit)

Betting Odds: New Mexico Lobos -8.5 -- Over/Under: 142.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Fresno State Bulldogs will fly to Albuquerque to face the New Mexico Lobos in Mountain West play from The Pit. Fresno State holds a slim series lead of, 19-17, after winning the last seven meetings.

Fresno State fell to 10-18 after losing to Nevada at home. The Bulldogs brawled with the Wolf Pack for 40 minutes, but they’d end up falling by four, 60-56. Air Force in Colorado Springs. The Bulldogs pulled away from the Falcons and left with a five-point win, 74-69. Fresno is scoring 61.5 points per game, while allowing 65.4 ppg, and shooting 42.2% from the floor.

Fresno State suffered their third straight loss of four points or less, and it pretty much summed up their season, as they’ve just been one step behind the growingly competitive conference. The Bulldogs are 6-11 in MWC play, with a 4-8 road record. The Bulldogs lean on the defensive end, and they’ve been held back by pedestrian offensive play. Senior guard Isaiah Hill paced FSU with 22 points in the win over Air Force, and he now leads the team in scoring (12.4) and assists (3.7).  Fellow veteran guard Jemarl Baker is second on the team at 11.5 ppg. Leading rebounder Isaih Moore has been missed over the last five games, and he is set to miss this road bout as well.

New Mexico fell to 20-9 after losing to San Diego State at home.  to Utah State in Logan. The Lobos held a double digit lead at the break, but they let the Aztecs march all the way back and hand them a two-point loss, 73-71. UNM scores 82.1 points per game, while allowing 71.5 ppg, and shooting 49.1% from the field.

New Mexico is spiraling and after dropping six of their last seven games, they may have just played themselves onto the wrong side of the bubble. UNM is 7-9 MWC play, with a 14-4 home record. The backcourt pairing of Jamal Mashburn Jr. and Jaelen House forms one of the best tandems in the nation, Mashburn scored 20 points against SDSU last time out, and he leads the Lobos in scoring (19.8). House is second on the team in scoring at 16.7 ppg, while dishing out 4.7 apg. Senior forward Morris Udeze scored a season-high 31 points in the win over SJSU last week, and he’s scoring 15.8 ppg, while grabbing 9.3 rpg. 

Fresno State is 13-14 against the spread this season, with a 10-15 over/under record. New Mexico is 14-13 ATS this year, with a 17-9 o/u record.

New Mexico had one of best mid-major resumes coming to the month of February, but things have changed swiftly. The Lobos have won their home finale here, because if they don’t, they can pretty much kiss their tournament hoops goodbye. Fresno will miss Isaih Moore’s presence dearly in this contest, and UNM’s front court should be able to capitalize off of it. I like New Mexico snapping a seven-game skid and flexing their muscles with a win and cover in this MWC contest.

Corey’s Pick New Mexico -8.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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