TCU at Mississippi State Prediction - Basketball Picks 1/28/23

Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-8) vs TCU Horned Frogs (16-4)

Game Info: Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 4:00 pm (Humphrey Coliseum)

Betting Odds: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 -- Over/Under: 128.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The TCU Horned Frogs will head to Starkville and face the Mississippi State Bulldogs in the Big 12/SEC Challenge from the Humphrey Coliseum on ESPN2. TCU leads the head-to-head series, 3-1, after winning a pair of meetings back in 2013 and 2014.

TCU improved to 16-4 after beating Oklahoma in Fort Worth. The Horned Frogs picked up another imposing victory after outscoring the Sooners by double figures in each half, handing them their biggest loss of the season, 79-52. TCU is scoring 77.7 points per game, while allowing 64.3 ppg, and shooting 46.4% from the field.

TCU has quietly turned into the neighborhood bully after two intimidating wins over Kansas and Oklahoma, and they might have a ball in Stark Vegas this weekend. Mike Miles Jr. leads the charge for Jamie Dixon’s squad for the third season in a row. The 6’2 guard went for a game-high 23 points in the win over OU, and he’s averaging a personal-best 19.1 ppg. Former A&M forward Emanuel Miller leads the team in rebounding (6.5), while scoring 13.5 ppg. Senior guard Damion Baugh averages a nice line of 12.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg, and 5.1 apg. Forward Eddie Lumpkin Jr. (7.7 ppg, 6.4 rpg) and Chuck O’Bannon Jr. (7.7 ppg, 1.1 bpg) bring noticeable length and toughness to the lineup.

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Mississippi State dropped to 12-8 after losing to Alabama in Tuscaloosa. The Bulldogs suffered another close defeat after taking the Tide to the brink, losing by just three points. Mississippi State is scoring 64.9 points per game, while allowing 58.7 ppg, and shooting 40.7% from the floor.

Mississippi State’s 11-0 start has swiftly evaporated, and after dropping a fifth straight game, they come into this contest just looking to stop the bleeding. The Bulldogs last two losses to Florida and Alabama have been by two and three points respectively, so they’re fighting, just failing to finish. Senior forward Tolu Smith has done his part, after double-doubling in three of the last four games, he leads the Bulldogs in scoring (13.8) and rebounding (8.2). Former Memphis forward joins him up front, and he’s second on the team at 9.1 ppg and 6.0 rpg. .

TCU is 12-7-1 against the spread this season, with a 11-9 over/under record. Mississippi State is 8-11-1 ATS this year, with a 5-5 o/u record.

Mississippi State’s physical style of play may once again meet their match, as they drew arguably the most rugged team in the Big 12 this season. TCU may not represent the conference's best defense, but they’re a big, experienced team who we can trust to go into Stark Vegas and come away as winners. The Horned Frogs should be able to at least neutralize Tolu Smith’s effect on the game, and limit the Bulldogs production in the process. Take TCU’s spread for this Big 12/SEC Challenge matchup.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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