Kansas State at Iowa State Prediction - Basketball Picks 1/24/23

Iowa State Cyclones (13-4) vs Kansas State Wildcats (17-2)

Game Info: Tuesday, January 24, 2023 at 9:00 pm (James H. Hilton Coliseum)

Betting Odds: Iowa State Cyclones -4.5 -- Over/Under: 132 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas State Wildcats will head over to Ames to face the Iowa State Cyclones in Big 12 play from the Hilton Coliseum on ESPNU. Kansas State leads the all-time series, 144-91, and they’ve won four of the last five matchups.

Kansas State improved to 17-2 after beating Texas Tech in Manhattan. The Horned Frogs overcame a halftime deficit, and outscored the Red Raiders by 15 points in the second half to remain undefeated at home, 68-58. Kansas State scores 77.9 points per game, while allowing 67.5 ppg, and shooting 46.4% from the field.

Kansas State responded to their first conference loss with a pair of victories, but this may mark their toughest road contest yet. The Wildcats and Cyclones have both been surprises in the Big 12 this year, so this should be a very good game. Former Florida forward Keyontae Johnson leads the way for KSU. Johnson went for 24 points in the win over Kansas, and he’s averaging team-leads of 18.5 ppg and 7.4 rpg. Veteran guard Markquis Nowell has really turned things up since the start of Big 12 play, scoring 20 points or more in five of seven conference games, and leading the Big 12 in assists at 8.2 apg. 

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Iowa State dropped to 14-4 after losing to Oklahoma State in Stillwater. The Cyclones watched a 10-point lead disappear and let the Cowboys hand them a second straight two-point loss. Iowa State is scoring 70.6 points per game, while allowing 58.6 ppg and shooting 45.8% from the floor. 

Iowa State comes into another appealing spot at home, and with first place in the Big 12 on the line, they’ll look to reel in another strong win. The Cyclones thrive on the defensive end, and it’s been a collective effort offensively. Former SBU guard Jaren Holmes scored 21 points in the win over Texas, and he leads ISU in scoring at 12.9 ppg. Fellow senior guard Gabe Kalscheur followed up a 25-point showing versus TTU with 23 points in the win over KU, and he’s right behind Holmes with 12.8 ppg. 

Kansas State is 14-5 against the spread this season, with a 11-7 series over/under record. Iowa State is 12-6 ATS this year, with a 6-11 o/u record. The Over is 4-0 in KSU's last 4 road games. The Over is 4-0 in ISU's last 4 home games.

These two schools have boosted the stock of the Big 12, and propelled it into the best conference in college basketball this season. This game should be contested, and it could very well sneak into overtime. Iowa State hasn’t lost at home all season, and after a pair of tough two-point losses, they’d love to spoil KState’s run in the top five. I like Iowa State to win this game SU, but with the total sitting at a reasonable spot, the over feels good for this Big 12 battle.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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