St. Mary's at Vanderbilt - 11/24/22 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

Vanderbilt Commodores (2-2) vs St. Mary's Gaels (5-0)

Game Info: Thursday, November 24, 2022 at 12:00 am (Anaheim Convention Center)

Betting Odds: Vanderbilt Commodores +6.5 -- Over/Under: 129 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Saint Mary’s Gaels and Vanderbilt Commodores face off on Wednesday in a college basketball showdown at the Anaheim Convention Center. When these two teams faced off in 2015 it was Vanderbilt that secured the 75-64 victory. 

Saint Mary’s comes into this game with a 5-0 record and they have gone 3-2 against the spread. In the last game against Hofstra, the defense was elite giving up only 48 points and that led to an easy victory. This is a defense that has been strong all season and in the last four games they haven’t given up more than 54 points. The Gaels are averaging 73.6 points while their defense is giving up 51.6 points per game. The defense is ranked 6th best in all of college basketball. Guard Alex Ducas has been the top player averaging 13.8 points while shooting 48.9 percent from the field. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Vanderbilt Commodores who sit with a 2-2 record and they have gone 2-2 against the spread. In the last game against Morehead State, Vanderbilt’s defense locked down giving up only 43 points, and that led to the 33 points victory. Vanderbilt is averaging 70 points while their defense is giving up 66.5 points per game. The offense hasn’t been good enough for this team, and they are going to be really tested in this game. Guard Jordan Wright has been the top player averaging 11.2 points while shooting 43.2 percent from the field and 30 percent from behind the three-point line. 

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Vanderbilt is 6-0 against the spread in their last six games on a neutral site. The Gaels are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games on Wednesday. The over is 4-0 in the Gaels last four neutral site games. The over is 4-1 in Commodores' last 5 games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points.

I don’t trust this Vanderbilt defense, and this is an elite Saint Mary’s defense. The Gaels are giving up only 51.6 points per game and they will lockdown on that end of the floor again. Vanderbilt’s defense also isn’t great, and Saint Mary’s is going pick up a key win here. Back Saint Mary’s against the spread.

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Shane’s Pick Saint Mary's -6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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