Dayton at Toledo: 3/16/22 College Basketball Picks and Predictions

Toledo Rockets (26-7) vs Dayton Flyers (23-10)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 16, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Savage Arena)

Betting Odds: Toledo Rockets -1 -- Over/Under: 145 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dayton Flyers and Toledo Rockets face off on Wednesday in a college basketball showdown in the NIT at Savage Arena. This is technically a home game for Dayton, but with the NCAA tournament happening in Dayton, this game will be played in Toledo. 

Dayton comes into this game with a 23-10 record overall and they have gone 18-15 against the spread. Dayton has to be disappointed that they didn’t make the NCAA Tournament, but they have a good chance to make a run here. Dayton’s last game was against Richmond, and they were upset 68-64 in that game. Dayton is averaging 69.1 points while their defense is giving up 61.2 points per game. DaRon Holmes II has been the top player for Dayton averaging 12.5 points while shooting 64.7 percent from the field and 14.3 percent from behind the three point line. Toumani Camara has also been having a big season averaging 11.5 points while shooting 58.8 percent from the field. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Toledo Rockets who sit with a 26-7 record and they have gone 22-9-1 against the spread. Toledo is another team who thought they would be in the NCAA Tournament, but they were defeated by Akron in the last game. The offense scored only 62 points and that led to the eight point defeat. Toledo is averaging 81.1 points while their defense is giving up 72.6 points per game. Guard Ryan Rollins has been the top player for Toledo averaging 19 points while shooting 47.6 percent from the field and 31.7 percent from behind the three point line. There are four different players that are averaging at least 12.7 points per game. 

The under is 5-0 in Toledo’s last five games following a straight up loss. The over is 12-2 in Dayton’s last 14 games played on Wednesday. The under is 6-0 in Toledo’s last six games following an against-the-spread loss. 

Toledo playing at home is a big advantage, and their offense is going to run up the score in this game. I don’t think the offense of Dayton is going to be enough,  as the Flyers are going to finish right around 70 points. Back Toledo to cover the spread.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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