UMass at Dayton - 2/23/22 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

UMass at Dayton - 2/23/22 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Jeremy Reper-USA TODAY Sports

Dayton Flyers (19-8) vs UMass Minutemen (12-13)

Game Info: Wednesday, February 23, 2022 at 7:00 pm (University of Dayton Arena)

Betting Odds: Dayton Flyers -12 -- Over/Under: 140.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UMass Minutemen will go on the road to play the Dayton Flyers in an A-10 game on Wednesday.

The UMass Minutemen are 12-13 (5-8) this season and have won two of their last three gams. UMass is coming off of a win against La Salle by a score of 80-74. UMass shot 44.6% from the field and made 23 free throws in the win. C.J. Kelly led the Minutemen with 17 points and 5 assists in the game. UMass is averaging 75.6 points per game and is giving up 77.5 points per game against, while also averaging 33.3 rebounds per game and 14.1 assists per game. Noah Fernandes is averaging 14.5 points per game and 5.7 assists per game, while Rich Kelly is averaging 13 points per game and 3.3 assists per game for the Minutemen. UMass is shooting 43.1% on field goals, 75.2% on free throws, and 39.1% on three pointers.

The Dayton Flyers are 19-8 (11-3) this season and have won seven of their last eight games. Dayton defeated Saint Joseph’s by a score of 74-62 in their last game. Dayton shot 54.2% from the field and was +7 in rebounding margin in the win. DaRon Holmes II led the Flyers with 18 points and 5 rebounds in the game. Dayton is averaging 69 points per game and is giving up 60.2 points per game against, while also averaging 35.3 rebounds per game and 14.4 assists per game. DaRon Holmes II is averaging 11.6 points per game and 5.8 rebounds per game, while Toumani Camara is averaging 10.9 points per game and 6.3 rebounds per game for the Flyers. Dayton is shooting 47.6% on field goals, 68.1% on free throws, and 36.5% on three pointers.

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UMass is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games. The over is 9-3 in UMass’ last 12 road games. Dayton is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The over is 5-1 in Dayton’s last 6 games. The home team is 12-4 ATS in these two teams last 16 head to head meetings.

Dayton is currently one game back of first place in the conference and has won four games in a row, while UMass is in the bottom half of the conference has alternated wins and losses in their last five games. UMass has been every shaky on defense, which is going to be a problem against a good Dayton team. I like the over in this matchup.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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