Villanova at Baylor: 3/27/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports
Baylor Bears (24-2) vs Villanova Wildcats (18-6)
Game Info: Saturday, March 27, 2021 at 5:15 pm (Hinkle Fieldhouse)
Betting Odds: Baylor Bears -5.5 -- Over/Under: 131.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Villanova Wildcats and Baylor Bears will square off at Hinkle Fieldhouse in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament this Saturday night.
The 5-seed Villanova Wildcats (18-6) had no trouble securing a spot in the Sweet 16 after easily defeating the 13-seed North Texas Mean Green, 84-61, this past Sunday. Villanova was lights out on the offensive end against North Texas and had no trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 47-27 lead. Villanova shot 55.4% from the field and 50.0% from beyond the arc while North Texas shot 40.4% from the field and 30.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Villanova was outrebounded by North Texas by a 28-26 margin, however, won the turnover battle by a 9-6 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Jeremiah Robinson-Earl who had 18 points, 6 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 block, & 1 steal.
On the season, Villanova is averaging 75.8 ppg on 45.4% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 9.4 three-pointers per game on 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Villanova has been led by Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (16.0 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.0 spg), Collin Gillespie (14.0 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.0 spg), Justin Moore (12.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.0 apg), & Jermaine Samuels (11.9 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 2.5 apg). Collin Gillespie is out for the NCAA Tournament with a torn MCL.
Defensively, Villanova is holding their opponents to an average of 66.7 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of 1.2 and a turnover margin of 3.6.
The 1-seed Baylor Bears (24-2) was able to punch their ticket to the Sweet 16 with an impressive 76-63 victory over the 9-seed Wisconsin Badgers this past Sunday. Baylor was solid on the defensive end against Wisconsin and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 49-35 lead with 15:02 left in the 2nd half. Baylor shot 45.5% from the field and 47.1% from beyond the arc while Wisconsin shot 45.5% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc. Baylor was outrebounded by Wisconsin by a 14-4 margin, however, lost the turnover battle by a 14-4 margin. Leading the way for the Bears was Davion Mitchell who had 16 points, 8 assists, 1 rebound, & 2 steals.
On the season, Baylor is averaging 83.8 ppg on 48.8% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 10.3 three-pointers per game on 41.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Baylor has been led by Jared Butler (16.9 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 4.8 apg, 2.1 spg), MaCio Teague (16.1 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.6 apg), Davion Mitchell (14.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 5.4 apg, 2.0 spg), & Adam Flagler (8.7 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.4 apg).
Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 65.8 ppg on 43.0% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 4.3 and a turnover margin of 5.5.
The Wildcats are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog. The Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as a favorite.
Villanova showed that they can still shoot the basketball with an impressive offensive performance in the 1st half against a very good North Texas defense, however, I still have trouble trusting the Wildcats without Connor Gillespie, especially with them going up one of the best teams in all of College Basketball. Baylor had looked a little sluggish over the past few weeks since they returned after being shut down due to Covid, however, the Bears looked outstanding against a good Wisconsin team and have been solid on both sides of the ball this season as they currently rank 5th in scoring offense & 56th in scoring defense. Villanova has had a nice run, however, as Baylor is looking like they are back in similar form that we saw for the first two months of the season, I think the Bears defense gives Villanova trouble and that they do enough to cover this mid-range spread. Good Luck!