Tennessee at Alabama: 3/13/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports
Alabama Crimson Tide (22-6) vs Tennessee Volunteers (18-7)
Game Info: Saturday, March 13, 2021 at 1:00 pm (Bridgestone Arena)
Betting Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -3 -- Over/Under: 137.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Tennessee Volunteers and 6th ranked Alabama Crimson Tide will square off at Bridgestone Arena in the Semifinals of the SEC Tournament this Saturday afternoon.
The 4-seed Tennessee Volunteers (18-7) advanced to the Semifinals of the SEC Tournament after defeating the 5-seed Florida Gators, 78-66, on Friday. Tennessee led by a 31-22 margin at halftime and had no trouble pulling away for the victory after taking a 62-45 lead with 6:52 left in regulation. Tennessee shot 46.7% from the field and 36.0% from beyond the arc while Florida shot 34.5% from the field and 41.7% from beyond the arc. Tennessee outrebounded Florida by a 39-33 margin while also winning the turnover battle by a 16-13 margin. Leading the way for the Volunteers was Keon Johnson who had 14 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, & 2 steals.
Coming into their game against Florida, Tennessee was averaging 73.2 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Volunteers were averaging 6.5 three-pointers per game on 33.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Tennessee had been led by Jaden Springer (12.4 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.1 spg), Victor Bailey Jr. (11.4 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.7 apg), Keon Johnson (10.8 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.0 spg), & John Fulkerson (9.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.8 apg).
Defensively, Tennessee was holding their opponents to an average of 63.4 ppg on 40.5% shooting from the field. The Volunteers had a rebound margin of 2.7 and a turnover margin of 3.3.
The 1-seed Alabama Crimson Tide (22-6) advanced to the Semifinals of the SEC Tournament after defeating the 9-seed Mississippi State Bulldogs, 85-48, on Friday. Alabama showed way they were regular season SEC Championships in this one as they dominated Mississippi State on both ends of the court and had no trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 47-19 lead. Alabama shot 48.5% from the field and 36.1% from beyond the arc while Mississippi State shot 29.0% from the field and 5.3% from beyond the arc. Alabama was outrebounded by Mississippi State by a 44-35 margin, however, won the turnover battle by a 18-9 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Crimson Tide was Herbert Jones who had 8 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists, 2 blocks, & 3 steals.
Coming into their game against Mississippi State, Alabama was averaging 79.6 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Crimson Tide were averaging 10.7 three-pointers per game on 35.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Alabama had been led by Jaden Shackelford (14.4 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.2 spg), John Petty Jr. (12.8 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.2 spg), Jahvon Quinerly (12.3 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 3.0 apg), & Herbert Jones (10.9 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.7 spg, 1.0 bpg).
Defensively, Alabama was allowing their opponents to average 70.3 ppg on 40.9% shooting from the field. The Crimson Tide had a rebound margin of 1.7 and a turnover margin of 1.7.
The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Crimson Tide are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Tennessee spent most of the season in the top-25 of the rankings, however, despite having a solid defense that ranks 27th in scoring offense & 34th in scoring defense, this is a Volunteers team that won just 5 of their last 9 regular season games and at times really struggled on the offensive end. Alabama has won 7 of their last 8 games and although their offense is once again great as they currently rank 30th in scoring offense & 4th in three-pointers made per game, the Crimson Tide have been able to take that step forward as a program behind a much-improved defense that ranks 16th in steals per game & 47th in scoring defense. Alabama was able to defeat Tennessee on the road this season by a 71-63 margin and as I think the Crimson Tide will be able to do plenty offensively against the Volunteers defense, I think the play here is to take Alabama to cover. Good Luck!