Oregon State at Oregon: 3/12/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Oregon Ducks (20-5) vs Oregon State Beavers (15-12)
Game Info: Friday, March 12, 2021 at 8:30 pm (T-Mobile Arena)
Betting Odds: Oregon Ducks -8.5 -- Over/Under: 136 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The 5-seed Oregon State Beavers and the 1-seed Oregon Ducks will square off at T-Mobile Arena in the Semifinals of the Pac-12 Championship this Friday night.
The 5-seed Oregon State Beavers (15-12) was able to advance to the Semifinals of the Pac-12 Championship after defeating the UCLA Bruins, 83-79 in OT, on Thursday. Oregon State was able to fight back from a 34-24 halftime deficit to force OT and was able to secure the victory after a pair of FT’s by Rodrigue Andela gave the Beavers a 4-point lead with just :02 seconds left in OT. Oregon State shot 42.4% from the field and 40.0% from beyond the arc while UCLA shot 42.9% from the field and 25.0% from beyond the arc. Oregon State was outrebounded by UCLA by a 43-29 margin, however, won the turnover battle by a 14-12 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Beavers was Warith Alatishe who had a double-double with 22 points & 10 rebounds.
Coming into their game against UCLA, Oregon State was averaging 70.0 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Beavers were averaging 6.7 three-pointers per game on 34.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Oregon State had been led by Ethan Thompson (15.5 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.9 apg, 1.3 spg), Jarod Lucas (12.8 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.0 apg), Warith Alatishe (9.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.3 spg, 1.5 bpg), & Zach Reichle (7.3 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.1 apg).
Defensively, Oregon State was allowing their opponents to average 68.1 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Beavers had a rebound margin of 0.5 and a turnover margin of 1.5.
The 1-seed Oregon Ducks (20-5) were able to advance to the Semifinals of the Pac-12 Championship after defeating the 8-seed Arizona State Sun Devils, 91-73, on Thursday. Oregon as lights out on the offensive end against Arizona State and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 75-56 lead with 6:07 left in regulation. Oregon shot 59.0% from the field and 55.6% from beyond the arc while Arizona State shot 43.5% from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc. Oregon outrebounded Arizona State by a 33-30 margin and won the turnover battle by a 12-10 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Ducks was LJ Figueroa who had 21 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 block, & 1 steal.
Coming into their game against Arizona State, Oregon was averaging 66.9 ppg on 46.9% shooting from the field. The Ducks were averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 38.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Oregon had been led by Chris Duarte (17.3 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.9 spg), Eugene Omoruyi (16.9 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.3 spg), LJ Figueroa (11.8 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.6 spg), & Will Richardson (11.0 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.0 spg).
Defensively, Oregon was holding their opponents to an average of 66.9 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Ducks had a rebound margin of 1.5 and a turnover margin of 2.2.
The Beavers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Ducks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
Oregon State has one of the best players in the Pac-12 in Ethan Thompson and has been playing better basketball as of late, winning 4 of their last 5 games, however, the Beavers just do not have the talent to matchup again an Oregon team that has won 11 of their last 12 games and comes into this game ranked 106th in scoring offense, 45th in FG%, & 78th in scoring defense. Oregon is going to be favored by a bunch here, however, as I think the Ducks have top-25 level talent and that Oregon recently defeated the Beavers at Oregon State by an 80-67 margin, my initial lean is to take Oregon to cover a large spread. Please check back when the line has been released.
Update (3/11). I thought this could reach a double-digit spread however, it looks like the early number is at -9. I'm sticking with my original thoughts and going with the Ducks as I think they can get us a double-digit victory here. Good Luck!