North Carolina at Florida State: 3/12/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Florida State Seminoles (15-5) vs North Carolina Tar Heels (18-9)
Game Info: Friday, March 12, 2021 at 9:00 pm (Greensboro Coliseum)
Betting Odds: Florida State Seminoles -2.5 -- Over/Under: 150.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The North Carolina Tar Heels and 15th ranked Florida State Seminoles will square off at Greensboro Coliseum in the Semifinals of the ACC Championship this Friday night.
The 6-seed North Carolina Tar Heels (18-9) advanced to the Semifinals of the ACC Championship after defeating the 3-seed Virginia Tech Hokies, 81-73, on Thursday night. North Carolina was outstanding offensively in the 2nd half against Virginia Tech and was able to pull away after taking a 68-58 lead with 4:58 left in regulation. North Carolina shot 44.4% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc while Virginia Tech shot 46.7% from the field and 44.4% from beyond the arc. North Carolina outrebounded Virginia Tech by a 43-32 margin while both the Tar Heels and Hokies committed 11 turnovers each. Leading the way for the Tar Heels was Armando Bacot who had a double-double with 17 points, 13 rebounds, 1 assist, 4 blocks, & 1 steal.
On the season, North Carolina is averaging 76.0 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Tar Heels are averaging 5.6 three-pointers per game on 31.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, North Carolina has been led by Armando Bacot (12.2 ppg, 8.0 rpg), Caleb Love (10.4 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.7 apg, 1.2 spg), Garrison Brooks (10.4 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.4 apg), & Day’Ron Sharpe (9.9 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.5 apg).
Defensively, North Carolina is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 ppg on 42.0% shooting from the field. The Tar Heels have a rebound margin of 11.1 and a turnover margin of -1.1.
The Florida State Seminoles finished their regular season with an overall record of 15-5 and earned the 3-seed in the ACC Championship after finishing conference play with a 11-4 margin. Florida State was solid on both ends of the court this season as the Seminoles come into this game ranked t-28th in scoring offense, 42nd in FG%, 13th in 3P-FG%, & 22nd in defensive FG%. Florida State at one point won 9 of 10 games during ACC play, which included an impressive 21-point victory against Virginia, however, the Seminoles did struggle a bit at the end of the regular season, losing 2 of their last 3 games, including a 78-70 loss at North Carolina.
On the season, Florida State is averaging 79.6 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field. The Seminoles are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 38.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Florida State has been led by M.J. Walker (13.1 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.5 apg), RaiQuan Gray (12.4 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.5 spg), Scottie Barnes (10.4 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.5 spg), & Anthony Polite (9.6 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.2 spg).
Defensively, Florida State is allowing their opponents to average 70.0 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field. The Seminoles have a rebound margin of 4.5 and a turnover margin of 0.7.
The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Seminoles are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 Friday games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Florida State is an outstanding team, however, I do not love how they matchup against North Carolina, as the Tar Heels have the size down low to compete with the Seminoles and an offense that has had success putting up points against the Florida State defense during the regular season. Florida State looked tired down the stretch, especially in their 83-73 loss at Notre Dame last Saturday, and as I like what I have seen from North Carolina over the past few weeks, I think the play here is to take the Tar Heels and the points. Good Luck.