Nevada at Boise State: 3/11/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

Nevada at Boise State: 3/11/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports

Boise State Broncos (18-7) vs Nevada Wolf Pack (15-9)

Game Info: Thursday, March 11, 2021 at 5:30 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)

Betting Odds: Boise State Broncos -4 -- Over/Under: 147 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Nevada Wolf Pack and Boise State Broncos will square off at the Thomas & Mack Center in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Tournament this Thursday night.

The Nevada Wolf Pack finished their regular season with an overall record of 15-9 and earned the 5-seed in the Mountain West Tournament after finishing conference play with a 10-7 record. Nevada was solid on both ends of the court this season as the Wolf Pack comes into the Mountain West Tournament ranked 128th in scoring offense, 92nd in 3P-FG%, 134th in scoring defense, & 30th in defensive FG%. Nevada was solid on conference play this season, which included two wins at home against Boise State, however, the Wolf Pack went 0-4 against San Diego State & Utah State and have played only three games since February 7th.

On the season, Nevada is averaging 73.2 ppg on 44.8% shooting from the field. The Wolf Pack are averaging 7.8 three-pointers per game on 35.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Nevada has been led by Grant Sherfield (18.0 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 6.2 apg, 1.6 spg), Desmond Cambridge Jr. (15.7 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Warren Washington (9.3 ppg, 5.5 rpg), & Tre Coleman (5.8 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 1.6 apg).

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Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 ppg on 40.3% shooting from the field. The Wolf Pack have a rebound margin of 1.0 and a turnover margin of -0.0.

The Boise State Broncos finished their regular season with an overall record of 18-7 and earned the 4-seed in the Mountain West Tournament after finishing conference play with a 14-6 record. Boise State was a tough team on both offensively & defensively this season as the Broncos enter this contest ranked 65th in scoring offense, 101st in FG%, & 55th in scoring defense. Boise State picked up a nice non-conference win at BYU early in the season and at won point, won 13 straight games, however, the Broncos did struggle down the stretch and come into this game on a three-game losing streak.

On the season, Boise State is averaging 76.0 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Broncos are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 34.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Boise State has been led by Derrick Alston Jr. (17.5 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.2 apg), Abu Kigab (11.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.2 spg), Marcus Shaver Jr. (10.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.3 spg), & RayJ Dennis (8.9 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Boise State is holding their opponents to an average of 65.4 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. The Broncos have a rebound margin of 3.6 and a turnover margin of 3.1.

The Wolf Pack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. The Broncos are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral sites games.

Nevada was able to defeat Boise State in both their regular season matchups earlier this season, but I still think Boise State is the better team in this one and as I think the Wolf Pack’s offense is going to struggle to get things going against an above average Boise State defense, I am going to take the Broncos to cover this spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Boise State Broncos -4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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