Sacramento State at Northern Colorado: 3/10/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
Northern Colorado Bears (10-10) vs Sacramento State Hornets (8-11)
Game Info: Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 11:00 pm (Idaho Central Arena)
Betting Odds: Northern Colorado Bears -1.5 -- Over/Under: 132.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Sacramento State Hornets and Northern Colorado Bears will square off at Idaho Central Arena in the 1st round of the Big Sky Championship this Wednesday morning.
The Sacramento State Hornets finished their regular season with an overall record of 8-11 and earned the 9-seed in the Big Sky Championship after finishing conference play with a 5-9 record. Sacramento State was led by their offense this season which ranked 165th in scoring offense & 100th in FG%, however, the Hornets defense struggled a bit and come into this game ranked just 200th in scoring defense & 326th in defensive FG%. Sacramento State did not put up much of a fight in their one tough non-conference game at Saint Mary’s (63-45 loss) and although the Hornets did finish their regular season with a win over Montana State, Sacramento State comes into this tournament losing 8 of their last 10 games.
On the season, Sacramento State is averaging 71.6 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Hornets are averaging 6.6 three-pointers per game on 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Sacramento State has been led by Ethan Esposito (18.3 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.8 apg), Bryce Fowler (13.0 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 3.9 apg, 1.5 spg), Christian Terrell (11.7 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.5 spg), & William FitzPatrick (10.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg).
Defensively, Sacramento State is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 ppg on 47.9% shooting from the field. The Hornets have a rebound margin of -0.6 and a turnover margin of 2.5.
The Northern Colorado Bears finished their regular season with an overall record of 10-10 and earned the 8-seed in the Big Sky Championship after finishing conference play with a 6-8 record. Northern Colorado struggled putting up points on the scoreboard as the Bears ranked just 237th in scoring offense, however, Northern Colorado did have a solid three-point attack (47th in three-pointers made per game; 42nd in 3P-FG%) and have a defense that ranks 87th in scoring defense. Northern Colorado could not pick up a big non-conference victory over Colorado or Utah State and finished their regular season losing 4 of their last 6 games.
On the season, Northern Colorado is averaging 68.9 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 8.8 three-pointers per game on 37.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Northern Colorado has been led by Bodie Hume (14.4 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.3 spg, 1.1 bpg), Daylen Kountz (13.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.3 apg), Matt Johnson (13.0 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 2.8 apg), & Kur Johnson (9.8 ppg, 7.7 rpg).
Defensively, Northern Colorado is holding their opponents to an average of 67.2 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 2.2 and a turnover margin of -3.1.
The Hornets are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games. The Bears are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games and 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss.
Sacramento State picked up some wins this season, however, outside of their two wins against Montana & Montana State, the Hornets really have not been that impressive. Northern Colorado had an up and down year, however, the Bears have been solid defensively this season and although they lost their last two games, Northern Colorado looked solid in their regular season finale loss at Weber State. Sacramento State picked up just 3 wins away from home on the season and as I expect Northern Colorado to have some offensive success behind their three-point attack, I think the play here is to take Northern Colorado to cover this small spread. Good Luck!