New Mexico at Fresno State: 3/10/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

New Mexico at Fresno State: 3/10/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Kiel Maddox-USA TODAY Sports

Fresno State Bulldogs (11-11) vs New Mexico Lobos (6-15)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)

Betting Odds: Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5 -- Over/Under: 125.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Mexico Lobos and the Fresno State Bulldogs will square off at the Thomas & Mack Center in the 1st round of the Mountain West Championship this Tuesday night.

The New Mexico Lobos finished their regular season with an overall record of 6-15 and earned the 11-seed in the Mountain West Championship after finishing conference play with a 2-15 record. New Mexico really struggled on the offensive end this season as they currently rank just 309th in scoring offense & 290th in FG% and although the Lobos were a bit better on the other side of the ball, they still ranked just 198th in scoring defense & 197th in defensive FG%. New Mexico had a long season as they were not allowed to play on their home court this year due to Covid-19 protocols and had little success in conference play as their two wins came against San Jose State & Air Force which had just six conference wins combined.

On the season, New Mexico is averaging 64.7 ppg on 41.3% shooting from the field. The Lobos are averaging 4.4 three-pointers per game on 26.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Mexico has been led by Makuach Maluach (15.9 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.9 apg), Saquan Singleton (8.1 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Valdir Manuel (7.9 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.4 bpg), & Rod Brown (7.4 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.1 apg).

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Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average of 71.1 ppg on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Lobos have a rebound margin of 3.9 and a turnover margin of -1.7.

The Fresno State Bulldogs finished their regular season with an overall record of 11-11 and earned the 6-seed in the Mountain West Championship after finishing conference play with a 9-11 record. Fresno State struggled a bit on the offensive end as the Bulldogs rank just 290th in scoring offense & 261st in FG%, however, the Bulldogs had trouble at times scoring the basketball as they currently rank just 90th in scoring offense, 261st in FG%, & 236th in three-pointers made per game. Fresno State had a slow start when it came to conference play as the Bulldogs at one point had just a 3-6 record, however, the Bulldogs played better down the stretch which included an impressive 67-64 victory at Boise State.

On the season, Fresno State is averaging 65.6 ppg on 42.2% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 6.7 three-pointers per game on 32.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Fresno State has been led by Orlando Robinson (14.5 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.0 spg), Deon Stroud (11.8 ppg, 3.7 rpg), Isaiah Hill (10.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.3 spg), & Junior Ballard (6.8 ppg, 2.6 rpg).

Defensively, Fresno State is holding their opponents to an average of 66.8 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 3.0 and a turnover margin of -1.0.

The Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

New Mexico has had a long season and it is hard to image that the Lobos and their offense is going to find any success in the Mountain West Championship as their only real scoring threat is Makuach Maluach. Fresno State has a defense that should really limit what the Lobos will be able to do on the offensive end and as I have been impressed with how the Bulldogs looked in their recent games against Boise State & Utah State, I think the play here is to take Fresno State to cover. Good Luck!

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Brett’s Pick Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Free NBA Parlay Mitch's NBA Parlay for 4/11/21 NBA Pick and Prediction

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