Cal Poly at UC-Santa Barbara: 3/5/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

Cal Poly at UC-Santa Barbara: 3/5/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (16-4) vs Cal Poly Mustangs (3-16)

Game Info: Friday, March 5, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Thunderdome)

Betting Odds: UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos -20.5 -- Over/Under: 127.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cal Poly Mustangs will travel to The Thunderdome to take on the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos this Friday night in College Basketball action.

The Cal Poly Mustangs lost their 7th straight game and dropped to 3-17 on the season after being defeated by the UC Davis Aggies, 68-66 in OT, this past Saturday. Cal Poly allowed UC Davis to force OT after a pair of FT’s by the Aggies Caleb Fuller tied the game with just :04 seconds left in regulation and the Mustangs could get the victory after being held scoreless for the entire OT period. Cal Poly shot 35.6% from the field and 47.4% from beyond the arc while Cal Poly shot 35.6% from the field and 47.4% from beyond the arc. Cal Poly was outrebounded by UC Davis by a 41-34 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 24-20 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Mustangs was Colby Rogers who had 17 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, & 1 steal.

On the season, Cal Poly is averaging 61.3 ppg on 38.6% shooting from the field. The Mustangs are averaging 6.3 three-pointers per game on 30.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Cal Poly has been led by Alimamy Koroma (12.9 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 1.2 bpg), Colby Rogers (11.1 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.1 spg), Mark Crowe (7.5 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.0 spg), & Keith Smith (5.2 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.3 spg).

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Defensively, Cal Poly is allowing their opponents to average 71.0 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field. The Mustangs have a rebound margin of -4.7 and a turnover margin of -0.9.

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos had their 13-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 17-4 on the season after being defeated by the UC Riverside Highlanders, 68-52, this past Saturday night. UC Santa Barbara struggled on the offensive end against UC Riverside and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 34-20 margin. UC Santa Barbara shot 36.5% from the field and 25.0% from beyond the arc while UC Riverside shot 42.9% from the field and 41.2% from beyond the arc. UC Santa Barbara was outrebounded by UC Riverside by a 37-32 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 16-12 margin. Leading the way for the Gauchos was JaQuori McLaughlin who had 17 points, 1 rebound, 4 assists, 1 block, & 1 steal.

On the season, UC Santa Barbara is averaging 76.3 ppg on 49.0% shooting from the field. The Gauchos are averaging 7.0 three-pointers per game on 36.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UC Santa Barbara has been led by JaQuori McLaughlin (16.0 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 5.4 apg, 1.6 spg), Amadou Sow (12.6 ppg, 7.3 rpg), Ajare Sanni (11.5 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.8 apg), & Deveral Ramsey (8.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.8 spg).

Defensively, UC Santa Barbara is holding their opponents to an average of 62.7 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Gauchos have a rebound margin of 5.2 and a turnover margin of 3.0.

The Mustangs are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a ATS win and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Gauchos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Cal Poly is one of the worst teams in the country, however, the Mustangs have been playing better basketball as of late which included two competitive games against UC Davis. Cal Poly’s biggest weakness is their offense which ranks 330th in scoring offense, however, the defense has been better and comes into this game ranked 199th in scoring defense & 86th in blocks per game. UC Santa Barbara is the team to beat in the Big West and has been solid on both ends of the court this season as the Gauchos come into this game ranked 63rd in scoring offense & 21st in scoring defense. Cal Poly is 0-9 on the road this season, however, this just a bunch of points for a UC Santa Barbara to cover considering they only have 3 wins against D-1 team that have come by more than 20+ points. I do not see any chance of Cal Poly winning this one, but I think they can do just enough to cover with the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Cal Poly Mustangs +20.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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