Louisville at North Carolina: 2/20/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports
North Carolina Tar Heels (13-7) vs Louisville Cardinals (11-4)
Game Info: Saturday, February 20, 2021 at 6:00 pm (Dean E. Smith Center)
Betting Odds: North Carolina Tar Heels -5 -- Over/Under: 138.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN Stream College Basketball all season on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The Louisville Cardinals will travel to the Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Louisville Cardinals have had their last 4 games postponed due to covid-19 protocols and come into this game with an overall record of 11-4 after defeating the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 74-58, on February 1st. Louisville had no trouble slowing down the Georgia Tech offensive attack and pulled away in the 2nd half after taking a 55-37 lead with 9:41 left in regulation. Louisville shot 38.9% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc while Georgia Tech shot 32.4% from the field and 29.6% from beyond the arc. Louisville outrebounded Georgia Tech by a 56-39 margin and committed just 9 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Cardinals was David Johnson who had a double-double with 24 points, 10 rebounds, 1 block, & 2 steals.
On the season, Louisville is averaging 69.5 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Cardinals are averaging 5.5 three-pointers per game on 31.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Louisville has been led by Carlik Jones (17.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 4.9 apg, 1.4 spg), David Johnson (13.1 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.1 spg), Jae’Lyn Withers (10.1 ppg, 7.6 rpg), & Samuell Williamson (9.6 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 1.0 apg).
Defensively, Louisville is holding their opponents to an average of 64.2 ppg on 40.1% shooting from the field. The Cardinals have a rebound margin of 6.1 and a turnover margin of -0.3.
The North Carolina Tar Heels improved to 13-7 on the season after defeating the Northeastern Huskies, 82-62, this past Wednesday. North Carolina was solid defensively against Northeastern and pulled away in the 2nd half after an 8-0 Tar Heels run gave North Carolina a 65-45 lead midway through the 2nd half. North Carolina shot 42.7% from the field and 29.4% from beyond the arc while Northeastern shot 35.6% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc. North Carolina outrebounded Northeastern by a 48-33 margin and won the turnover battle by a 16-10 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Tar Heels was Day’Ron Sharpe who had 15 points, 8 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, & 1 steal.
On the season, North Carolina is averaging 73.2 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. The Tar Heels are averaging 73.2 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. The Tar Heels are averaging 5.2 three-pointers per game on 31.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, North Carolina has been led by Armando Bacot (11.7 ppg, 7.6 rpg), Caleb Love (10.5 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.1 spg), Garrison Brooks (10.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 1.5 apg), & Day’Ron Sharpe (9.8 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.0 spg).
Defensively, North Carolina is allowing their opponents to average 69.5 ppg on 42.7% shooting from the field. The Tar Heels have a rebound margin of 11.0 and a turnover margin of -1.1.
The Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Tar Heels are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Louisville has not played a game for about three weeks, however, this is still a very good basketball team led by a defense that ranks 42nd in scoring defense & 35th in defensive FG%. North Carolina is a perfect 7-0 at home this season, however, this is a team that does not provide much of a threat offensively from beyond the arc and as I am not too worried about the Cardinals defense being rusty from their time off, I think the play here is to take the Cardinals and the points. Good Luck!