Kansas at Kansas State - 2/17/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas State Wildcats (5-17) vs Kansas Jayhawks (15-7)
Game Info: Wednesday, February 17, 2021 at 8:00 pm (Fred Bramlage Coliseum)
Betting Odds: Kansas State Wildcats +12.5 -- Over/Under: 135.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Kansas Jayhawks travel to the “Little Apple” to take on arch-rival Kansas State Wildcats in the Dillons Sunflower Showdown. KU earned its fourth straight victory over KSU 74-51 earlier this year as the Jayhawks held the Wildcats to just 34% shooting and five 3-pointers at a 23.4% clip while also forcing 13 turnovers. The Jayhawks also dominated the paint and boards. David McCormack registered 18 points along with 10 rebounds, and Christian Braun put up 18 points to lead the way for Rock Chalk. Mike McGuirl and Nijel Pack had 10 points apiece to top K-State. Kansas has won 12 of the last 13 meetings against its in-state rival and leads the all-time series 200-74. KU also owns a 79-47 record in games in Manhattan, including 27 of 32 at Bramlage Coliseum.
Kansas (15-7, 9-5 Big 12) has moved back into the AP rankings at #23 thanks to a three-game winning streak. KU is coming off a home-and-home sweep of Iowa State, defeating the Cyclones 64-50 in Ames on Saturday as the Jayhawks overcame a poor shooting performance by continuing to play dominant defense. The Jayhawks, who shot just 35.8% from the field, limited the Cyclones to 37.8% from beyond the arc and four triples while also forcing 23 turnovers. Jalen Wilson led the way with his fourth straight double-double and seventh of the campaign, finishing with 22 points along with 10 caroms.
Kansas is amongst five teams battling for second place in a loaded Big 12 Conference. Ochai Obaji leads five Jayhawk players in double-figures with 13.9 points, 2.6 3-pointers, 2.0 assists, and 3.8 rebounds. McCormack (13.0 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.0 bpg) has scored in double-figures in seven straight games and for the 14th time this season overall. Willson (12.8 ppg,7.8 p rpg, 2.1 apg), Christian Braun (10.5 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.0 triples), and Marcus Garrett (10.1 ppg, 3.7 apg, 4.6 rpg, 1.6 spg), who came up with a season-high five steals on Saturday.
Kansas averages 74.6 points on 44.0% shooting from the field, 35.5% from the 3-point line, and 72.4% from the free-throw line. KU has a +4.7 rebound margin and a +1.5 turnover differential. The Jayhawks allow 67.4 points on 41.3% shooting from the field, 34.4% from the 3-point line, and force 14 turnovers.
Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last five games. KU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven contests against K-State. The over is 6-3 in the Jayhawks last nine games, but the under is 4-1 in the Jayhawks last five games versus the Wildcats on the road.
Kansas State (5-17, 1-12) is in the midst of its second straight losing record and the worst season under head coach Bruce Weber. K-State has lost 12 in a row, although three of its last four setbacks have been by single digits, including Saturday’s 67-60 setback at Oklahoma State. The Wildcats, who shot 25% from the field and missed all eight of their 3-point shots in the first 20 minutes, trailed by 16 points at halftime but outscored the Cowboys 41-32 in the second half. Antonio Gordon produced his first double-double with 15 points along with a career-high 14 caroms (six offensive) to lead three Wildcats in double-figures.
Kansas State is 4-11 at home this year. Pack, who is attempting to become the first true freshman to lead the Wildcats in scoring since Marcus Foster in 2013-14, leads the way for the Wildcats with 12.6 points along with 3.7 rebounds, 2.5 treys, and 3.9 dimes. McGuirl (11.7 ppg, 2.1 treys, 3.5 rpg, 3.5 apg) -- who has scored in double-figures 15 times -- Dajuan Gordon ( 9.3 ppg, 5.7 rpg), Setton Miguel (7.5 ppg, 2.1 apg), Davion Bradford (7.1 ppg, 4.1 rpg) and Antonio Gordon (5.9 ppg, 5.7 rpg) are the other top contributors. AGordon has upped his production to 7.3 points, on 50.9% shooting, with a team-best 6.4 rebounds in Big 12 play.
Kansas State averages 62.9 points on 42.1% shooting from the field, 30.4% from beyond the arc, and 66% from the free-throw line. K-State has a -0.1 rebound margin and a -2.5 turnover differential. The Wildcats allow 73.7 points on 47.6%shooting from the field, 39.4% from the 3-point line, and force 12.5 turnovers.
Kansas State is 7-13 in its last 20 games. The under is 6-3 in the Wildcats last nine contests. However, the over is 4-2 in the Cats' previous six games as the underdog.
Pick: Kansas should have no problem with K-State as the Jayhawks have been hunkering down defensively lately. However, I'm taking the Wildcats to cover as they have played fairly well at home and the Jayhawks have struggled on the road. The best bet here is the user as the Jayhawks is ranked in the top two during conference play in nearly every defensive category, including scoring defense, while K-State is the poorest shooting and lowest scoring squad in the Big 12.