Duke at Wake Forest - 2/17/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction
Photo by Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-9) vs Duke Blue Devils (8-8)
Game Info: Wednesday, February 17, 2021 at 8:30 pm (Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum)
Betting Odds: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +5 -- Over/Under: 145.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Duke Blue Devils make the 81-mile trek west on I-40 to Winston-Salem to face the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Duke defeated Wake 79-68 at Cameron earlier this year as the Blue Devils shot over 50% from the field and outrebounded the Demon Deacs 35-25. Mathew Hurt poured in 26 points, on 10 of 15 shooting from the field and 4 of 7 from the 3-point line, and DJ Steward added 21 points for the Devils. Davien Williamson tallied 17 points, and Ismael Massoud compiled 17 along with eight boards.
Duke has won 12 of the last 13 meetings against Wake Forest and leads the all-time series 175-79, including posting a 50-40 record in Winston-Salem. Duke (8-8, 6-6) closes its two-game in-state road trip --the Blue Devils are 2-4 away from home -- without star freshman Jalen Johnson, who has opted out to focus on the upcoming NBA draft.
Duke snapped a three-game losing streak with a 69-53 victory over NC State on Saturday as the Blue Devils used a 22-3 first-half run to take an 18 point half-time lead. The Blue Devils shot 48% from the field and knocked down 9 of 18 (50%) shots from long-distance while also scoring 22 points off of 19 Wolfpack turnovers. Hurt tallied 24 points, on 8 of 10 shooting, including 6 of 7 from deep, and Mark Williams turned in a career-best performance with 13 points, five boards as well as five blocks. Hurt --who tops the Blue Devils with 18.1 points along with 2.3 triples and 6.7rebounds -- is the ACC's second-leading scorer, ranks third in field goal% (.543), fourth in 3-pointers, and 15th in rebounding. Steward (13.0 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.8 treys, 2.1 apg), Wendell Moore Jr. (9.6 ppg, 4.4 rpg), Jeremy Roach (9.3 ppg, 2.4 apg), and Jordan Goldwire (6.5 ppg, 3.7 apg) are the other top contributors.
Duke averages 75.6 points on 46.2% shooting from the field, 35.1% from the 3-point line, and 71.4% from the charity stripe. The Blue Devils have a +3.3 rebound margin and a +0.6 turnover differential. The Devils allow 72.3 points on 46.8% shooting from the field, 38.4% from the 3-point line, and force 14 turnovers. Duke is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games, including 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road contests. The over is 4-2 in the Blue Devils' last six games and 13-6 in their previous 19 contests versus an ACC opponent.
Wake Forest (6-9, 3-9) fell to 3-3 in its last six games following its 92-85 overtime defeat to No. 16 Florida State despite the Demon Deacons shooting 45.6% from the field and draining 13 treys at a 48.1% clip. Jonah Antonio posted a career-night with 23 points, seven triples, and eight rebounds to lead three Deacs in double-figures. Wake is 5-2 at home.
Ian Dubose, who has appeared in just four games this year, is averaging 14.3 points along with 4.2 assists and 4.5 rebounds. Williamson (12.7 ppg, 1.4 3-pointers), Isaiah Mucius (10.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg), Ody Oguama (9.2 ppg, 6.1 rpg), and Masoud (8.7 ppg, 3.6 rpg) are the other top contributors.
Wake Forest averages 70.3 points on 43.1% shooting from the field, 36.1% from the 3-point line, and 73.4% from the charity stripe. Wake has a +0.9 rebound margin but a -1.0 turnover differential. The Demon Deacons allow 70 points on 45% shooting from the field, 35.7% from the 3-point line, and force 13.1 turnovers.
Wake Forest is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games, including 7-1 ATS in its last eight ACC opponents. The under is 4-1 in the Demon Deacons last five games.
Pick: I believe Duke will pull this one out, but I'm taking Wake to cover in a close, high-scoring affair.