Missouri at Georgia - 2/16/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

Missouri  at Georgia  - 2/16/21 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Georgia Bulldogs (12-8) vs Missouri Tigers (13-5)

Game Info: Tuesday, February 16, 2021 at 6:30 pm (Stegeman Coliseum)

Betting Odds: Georgia Bulldogs +3.5 -- Over/Under: 154.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The No. 20 Missouri Tigers head to the east coast for a pair of SEC games, starting with a contest in Athens (Ga.) against the Georgia Bulldogs. Both teams enter the contest on a two-game losing streak. Mizzou has won each of the last three meetings against Georgia and six of the previous 10. The Tigers also lead the all-time series 8-7, but the Bulldogs have won four of the six games in Athens.

Missouri (13-5, 6-5 SEC) is currently in sixth place in the SEC, but the Tigers are currently trending downwards due to its recent defensive troubles. Missouri has allowed four of its last five opponents to top the 70-point mark, shoot 46% and above from the field, and permitted all five of its opponents to make at least 36% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Mizzou is coming off its second straight loss after falling to Arkansas 86-81 in overtime on Saturday despite draining a season-high 13 3-pointers at a 41% clip. Arkansas, which essentially won the game at the foul line making 20 of 23 attempts, outshot Missouri 46.8% -to-44.3% while also forcing the Tigers into 16 turnovers. Xavier Pinson poured in 23 points on 7 of 13 shooting and 5 of 8 from the 3-point line to lead the way. Dru Smith added 15 points, 7 assists, and 4 rebounds, although he also committed six turnovers. Missouri is 4-3 on the road this season.

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Pinson, who broke out a three-game shooting slump against Arkansas, leads four Tigers averaging at least nine points with 14.7 points and 3.1 rebounds, and 3.1 assists along with 1.6 treys. Smith (14.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.6 3-pointers, 3.5 apg) has scored in double-figures in 10 straight games. Jeremiah Tillmon (12.8 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.3 bpg) has pulled down 5+ rebounds and blocked one or more shots in eight straight games. Mark Smith (9.8 ppg, 1.5 3-pointers) and Javon Pickett (7.2 ppg, 2.8 rpg) are the other top contributors.

Missouri averages 74.2 points on 45.5% shooting from the field, 31.5% from the 3-point line, and 68.9% from the free-throw line. Mizzou has a +1.4 rebound margin and a -1.0 turnover differential. The Tigers allow 71.3 points on 42% shooting from the floor, 31.7% from the 3-point line, and force 12.6 turnovers.

Missouri is 2-4 ATS in its last four games. However, Mizzou is 4-2 ATS in its last six contests versus Georgia. The over has hit in seven of the Tigers' last eight games and four of their last five contests on the road. However, the under has hit in four of the Tigers' last five contests against the Bulldogs.

Georgia (12-8, 5-8) has permitted 204 points during its recent two-game losing streak, falling to No.11 Alabama 115-82 on Saturday as the Crimson Tide scored 50 points in each half and shot 64.3% from the field as well as 60% from beyond the arc for the game. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs shot 43.1% from the field and forced Alabama into 18 turnovers, with 10 coming on steals. KD Johnson poured in a career-high 24 points to lead four Dawgs in double-figures while Sahvir Wheeler contributed 16 points and Toumani Camari registered his sixth double-double with 12 points along with 13 rebounds.

Georgia is 10-3 at home this year. Johnson, who has put up 47 points over the last two contests and came up with three steals in each of his previous three appearances, leads UGA with 14.1 points along with 1.7 triples and 1.9 steals. Wheeler (13.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 7.1 apg) has scored in double-figures in five straight games, compiling 13.8 points as well as 5.8 assists and 4.2 turnovers during this stretch. Camara (12.6 ppg, 7.6 rpg) has tallied five straight games of 10 points and eight caroms. Tye Fagan (9.7 ppg, 4.4 rpg), Justin Kier (9.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.7 apg), and Andrew Garcia (9.7 ppg, 4.3 rpg) are the other top contributors.

Georgia averages 78.1 points on 46.6% shooting from the field, 31.5% from the 3-point line, and 69.1% from the charity stripe. The Bulldogs have a +4.1 rebound margin though they also have a -0.9 turnover differential. The Dawgs allow 73.2 points on 45.1% shooting from the field, 34.2% from the 3-point line, and force 16.3 turnovers.

Georgia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus. a team with a winning straight up record.UGA is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The over is 6-0 in Bulldogs' last six games versus a team with a winning% above .600. However, the under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

 

Pick: I am going with Missouri to give coach Cuonzo Martin his 250 career victories and the Tigers' fourth consecutive victory over the Bulldogs in a close affair. Georgia is 0-2 against ranked teams this year, and Mizzou played well before this recent two-game stretch.  

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Daniel’s Pick Missouri Tigers -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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