Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Northwestern State - 3/11/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Northwestern State - 3/11/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (14-17) at Northwestern State (14-15)

College Basketball: Wednesday, March 11, 2020 at 6:00 pm (Leonard E. Merrell Center)

The Line: Northwestern State 0 -- Over/Under: 142.5

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The Northwestern State Demons (14-17, CONF 10-10) and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (14-15, CONF 11-9)face off in the SOuthland Tournament at the Leonard E. Merrell Center. The Islanders have won the last seven games played between the two squads, but NOrthwestern State has covered the spread in the last two games.

Texas A&M Corpus Christi haven’t been great this season, but they come into this game playing well having won four games in a row. The Islanders have also covered the spread in three of the last four games.

Over the last five games AMCC is averaging 75.8 points per game while the defense is giving up 72.4 points .

The Islanders are led by Myles Smith who is averaging 13.7 points while shooting 43.2 percent from the field. Two games ago against Sam Houston State, Smith put up 25 points and five rebounds in 36 minutes. 

Northwestern State comes into this game having won two games in a row but before that they had lost three games in a row. In the Demons last game against Central Arkansas,  they scored 100 points and that was enough to win by 15 points. Against Central Arkansas, it was Jarius Robinson who paced the team putting up 23 points. Guard Trenton Massner was also strong putting up 20 points and five rebounds in 33 minutes. 

The over is 5-2-1 in Texas A&M Corpus Christi's last eight games played on a neutral floor. Northwestern State is 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 games played on Wednesday. Northwestern is 14-6 against the spread in their last 20 games overall.

The Islanders already beat Northwestern State once this year, and it’s going to happen again in this game. Look for the Islanders defense to lock down like they did in the first game and that will be enough to come away with a cover.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.