Idaho State at Northern Arizona - 3/11/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

Idaho State at Northern Arizona - 3/11/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Idaho State Bengals (7-22) at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (16-13)

College Basketball: Wednesday, March 11, 2020 at 4:30 pm (CenturyLink Arena)

The Line: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -4.5 -- Over/Under: 143

The Idaho State Bengals (7-22, 4-16 CONF) and the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (16-13, 10-10 CONF) will meet on Wednesday, March 11th for the 1st Round of the Big Sky Conference Tournament. The game will be played at a neutral site at CenturyLink Arena in Boise, ID. The game is scheduled for a 4:30 PM ET start time. 

Idaho State ended its regular season with an 80-76 road loss to their rivals, Idaho. Idaho State has now lost back-to-back games and four of their last five games overall. Idaho State only has four conference wins and seven wins overall. Northern Arizona is coming off an 80-66 road loss to Portland State. Northern Arizona has lost three of its last four games overall. 

Idaho State scores 69.6 points per game on 45.4 percent field goal shooting this season. Idaho State’s leading scorer is G Tarik Cool, who scores 12.8 points per game. The leading rebounder for Idaho State is F Chier Maker, who earns 5.6 rebounds per game. Idaho State allows 74.6 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a -5.0 scoring differential so far this season. Idaho State also earns 32.3 rebounds, 11.5 assists, 2.4 blocks, and 4.6 steals per game as a team. 

Northern Arizona scores 71.2 points per game on 44.9 percent field goal shooting this season. Northern Arizona’s leading scorer is G Cameron Shelton, who scores 14.8 points per game. The leading rebounder for Northern Arizona is F Brooks DeBisschop, who earns 8.0 rebounds per game. Northern Arizona allows 69.6 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a +1.6 scoring differential so far this season. Northern Arizona also earns 33.9 rebounds, 13.6 assists, 2.1 blocks, and 6.6 steals per game as a team. 

Idaho State is 13-13-1 against the spread this season and 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games. Idaho State is also 4-21 straight up as the underdog this season. Northern Arizona is 13-14 against the spread this season and 3-7 against the spread in their last ten games. Northern Arizona is also 6-4 straight up as the favorite so far this season.

Taking a side in this game is tricky, as although Northern Arizona is the better team on paper, they did lose and won by one point in overtime to Idaho State this season, which does not have me jumping for joy to take them giving 4.5 points. Idaho State is too risky as well, as their defense has been getting torched lately. Therefore, I will take the over 143 in this game, as I think one or both of these teams will get to 80 points in this one. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.