Georgia Southern at Georgia State - 3/11/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

Georgia Southern at Georgia State - 3/11/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

Georgia Southern Eagles (19-13) at Georgia State Panthers (19-12)

College Basketball: Wednesday, March 11, 2020 at 7:00 pm (GSU Sports Arena)

The Line: Georgia State Panthers -5.0 -- Over/Under:

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The Georgia Southern Eagles clash with the Georgia State Panthers in the Sun Belt Quarterfinals.  The Eagles are (19-13), coming off a 82-81 win over Louisiana. The Panthers are (19-12), after beating Little Rock, 89-70.

In the Eagles win over Louisiana, Georgia Southern was led offensively by Quan Jackson.  Jackson collected 16 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists in the win. Georgia Southern connected on 53 percent from the floor and a sizzling 57 percent from 3-point distance.  The Eagles held Louisnana to 48 percent from the floor. Georgia Southern was able to secure the win, thanks to winning the free throw battle, 10 to 5. The Eagles trailed 49-45 at the half.

The Eagles have been led this season by Ike Smith.  Smith is totaling 14.1 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 2.1 assists per contest.  Jackson is collecting 13.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game. Georgia Southern is averaging 75.4 points per game, while converting on 44.1 percent from the floor on the season.

In the Panthers win over Little Rock, Georgia State was guided throughout the game by Kane Williams.  Williams registered 21 points, 5 rebounds, and 7 assists. Georgia State converted on 51 percent from the floor and 50 percent from 3-point range.  The Panthers defended the perimeter well, holding Little Rock to just 31 percent on 13 attempts. Georgia State was able to step into the passing lanes, forcing Little Rock to commit 16 turnovers.  Each team had 29 rebounds in the game.   

Williams has guided the Panthers this year, with a pretty balanced game.  Williams is finishing with an average of 14.6 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game.  Corey Allen is contributing 13.7 points and 3 rebounds per contest. Georgia State is registering 78.6 points, while converting on 37 percent from distance. 

Recent Betting Trends:

Georgia Southern is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

Georgia Southern is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.

The under is 5-2 in Georgia Southern last 7 games.

Georgia State is 17-11-1 ATS on the year.

Georgia State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in March.

The over is 8-3 in Georgia State’s last 11 games.

Both teams are averaging over 75 points on offense, which ranks in the top 65.  The Panthers are solid from being the 3-point arch, ranking 30th in the country.  An area of note, Georgia Southern commits a ton of fouls on defense, ranking 284th in fouls committed on defense.  This game could come down to foul shooting, as the average margin of victory is separated by 1 point in this series last 10 games.  The Panthers have the edge in the category, connecting on over 74 percent, while the Eagles are converting on less than 68 percent from the charity stripe.  Final score prediction, Georgia State will win and Georgia Southern will cover against the spread, 78-74.    

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Chris’s Pick Georgia Southern Eagles +5.0

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.