UMBC at Vermont - 3/10/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction

UMBC at Vermont - 3/10/20 College Basketball Picks and Prediction Photo by Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

UMBC Retrievers (16-16) at Vermont Catamounts (25-7)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 10, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Roy L Patrick Gymnasium)

The Line: Vermont Catamounts -16.5 -- Over/Under: 130 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UMBC Retrievers (16-16, 8-8 CONF) and the Vermont Catamounts (25-7, 14-2) will meet on Tuesday, March 10th for the Hercules Tires America East Conference Tournament Semifinal. The game will be at Patrick Gymnasium in Burlington, VT, and it will be played at 7:00 PM eastern time. The winner will make it to the championship game.

UMBC defeated New Hampshire, 73-67, in the quarterfinal game at home. UMBC now has the daunting task of taking on the defending conference champions in Vermont. Vermont took down Maine, 61-50, in their quarterfinal game on Saturday. Vermont will host this game at its Patrick Gymnasium. Vermont just lost to UMBC at home, 66-64, on February 22nd, so this should be a great game. 

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UMBC scores 68.2 points per game on 44.3 percent field goal shooting this season. UMBC’s leading scorer is G K.J. Jackson, who scores 14.1 points per game. The leading rebounder for UMBC is F Brandon Horvath, who earns 6.7 rebounds per game. UMBC allows 66.4 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a +1.8 scoring differential so far this season. UMBC also earns 34.5 rebounds, 12.5 assists, 2.4 blocks, and 5.4 steals per game as a team. 

Vermont scores 71.3 points per game on 44.6 percent field goal shooting this season. Vermont’s leading scorer and rebounder is F Anthony Lamb, who scores 16.6 points per game and earns 7.2 rebounds per game. Vermont allows 59.0 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a +12.3 scoring differential so far this season. Vermont also earns 36.9 rebounds, 13.9 assists, 3.4 blocks, and 5.9 steals per game as a team. 

UMBC is 14-15 against the spread this season and 8-2 against the spread in their last ten games. UMBC is also 7-7 against the spread on the road so far this season. Vermont is 18-12-1 against the spread this season and 7-3 against the spread in their last ten games. Vermont is also 9-5 against the spread at home so far this season.

Vermont is still my pick to win the America East Championship, but we have to remember that UMBC just beat them at Vermont not too long ago. I took the 20 points with Maine and I will take the 16.5 points with UMBC, as defensive-minded teams like Vermont can struggle to cover such large spreads like this one, especially against tough competition. Vermont wins, UMBC covers. 

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Ronald’s Pick UMBC +16.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.