Western Michigan vs. Toledo - 3/9/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports
Western Michigan Broncos (13-18) at Toledo Rockets (16-15)
College Basketball: Monday, March 9, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Savage Arena)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -9 -- Over/Under: 140.5
The Western Michigan Broncos (13-18, 6-12 CONF) and the Toledo Rockets (16-15, 8-10 CONF) will meet on Monday, March 9th for the 1st Round of the MAC Conference Tournament Presented by Visit Myrtle Beach. The game is scheduled for a 7:00 PM ET start time, and it will be played at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH.
Western Michigan is coming off an 85-68 road loss to Central Michigan in their last regular-season game of the season. Western Michigan ended the regular season with a six-game under .500 record in conference play. Toledo ended their regular season with a home win over Eastern Michigan, 79-57. Toledo and Western Michigan played on February 22nd and Toledo was victorious 68-59.
Western Michigan scores 66.8 points per game on 41.5 percent field goal shooting this season. Western Michigan’s leading scorer 16.4 points per game. The leading rebounder for Western Michigan is F Brandon Johnson, who earns 8.1 rebounds per game. Western Michigan allows 72.6 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a +5.8 scoring differential so far this season. Western Michigan also earns 34.3 rebounds, 10.9 assists, 2.1 blocks, and 4.8 steals per game as a team.
Toledo scores 74.5 points per game on 43.6 percent field goal shooting this season. Toledo’s leading scorer and rebounder is G Marreon Jackson, who scores 19.7 points per game and earns 11.8 rebounds per game. Toledo allows 70.0 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a +4.5 scoring differential so far this season. Toledo also earns 37.9 rebounds, 14.5 assists, 3.4 blocks, and 5.6 steals per game as a team.
Western Michigan is 13-15-1 against the spread this season and 5-5 against the spread in their last ten games. Western Michigan is also 5-9 against the spread on the road so far this season. Toledo 10-19-1 against the spread this season and 4-5-1 against the spread in their last ten games. Toledo is also 3-11 against the spread at home so far this season.
I like Toledo to win this game, but I do not think I can lay that many points in a conference tournament game. Western Michigan is way too risky to take in this spot as well, therefore I will take the under 140.5, as the two games these teams have played against each other this season were low scoring. Add the fact that this is a conference tournament game where everything is on the line, and defense needs to be taken seriously.