Green Bay vs. Northern Kentucky - 3/9/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix (17-15) at Northern Kentucky Norse (21-9)
College Basketball: Monday, March 9, 2020 at 9:30 pm (Indiana Farmers Coliseum)
The Line: Northern Kentucky Norse -5 -- Over/Under: 150.5
The Green Bay Phoenix (17-15, 11-7 CONF) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (21-9, 13-5 CONF) will meet on Monday, March 9th for the Semifinal game of the Horizon League Conference Tournament. The game will be played at a neutral site at Indiana Farmers Coliseum in Indianapolis, IN. The game will be played at 9:30 PM eastern time.
Green Bay defeated Oakland, 78-63 in their most recent game in the conference tournament, which was the quarterfinals. Green Bay will be quite the test for the defending conference champion Northern Kentucky Norse, who will be playing in their first game of the tournament. Northern Kentucky ended its regular season with a home loss to Wright State, 64-62. Wright State was ahead by a good margin for a large portion of the game, but Northern Kentucky was able to make it close at the end.
Green Bay scores 82.0 points per game on 46.2 percent field goal shooting this season. Green Bay's leading scorer and rebounder is G JayQan McCloud, who scores 17.2 points per game and earns 5.1 rebounds per game. Green Bay allows 80.1 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a +1.9 scoring differential so far this season. Green Bay also earns 36.3 rebounds, 16.3 assists, 3.2 blocks, and 7.0 steals per game as a team.
Northern Kentucky scores 72.2 points per game on 43.1 percent field goal shooting this season. Northern Kentucky's leading scorer is G Tyler Sharpe, who scores 14.9 points per game. The leading rebounder for Northern Kentucky is F Adrian Nelson, who earns 6.6 rebounds per game. Northern Kentucky allows 65.3 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a +6.9 scoring differential so far this season. Northern Kentucky also earns 36.9 rebounds, 13.8 assists, 2.1 blocks, and 8.1 steals per game as a team.
Green Bay is 15-14-1 against the spread this season and 6-4 against the spread in their last ten games. Green Bay is also 6-12 straight up as the underdog so far this season. Northern Kentucky is 16-12 against the spread this season and 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games. Northern Kentucky is also 14-5 straight up as the favorite so far this season.
I think this will be a great game between two exciting teams in the Horizon League. Green Bay can score a ton of points, but they sacrifice defense many times. I think Northern Kentucky's experience will eventually prevail in this game, therefore I will take Northern Kentucky and lay the points.