Colgate vs. Lafayette - 3/8/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports
Lafayette Leopards (19-11) at Colgate Raiders (24-8)
College Basketball: Sunday, March 8, 2020 at 2:00 pm (Cotterell Court)
The Line: Colgate Raiders -10 -- Over/Under: 146
The Lafayette Leopards (19-11, 11-8 Patriot) travel to Hamilton, NY to face the Colgate Raiders (24-8, 15-4 Patriot) in a Patriot League Tournament Semifinal at the Reid Athletic Center. The last time these teams played, Lafayette defeated Colgate 80-78 as a 7 ½-point home underdog.
Lafayette is 6-4 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. Lafayette is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Lafayette has scored 67.8 points per game and allowed 66.9 points per game to opponents, and the Leopards have shot 44.4% from the field, 33.1% from 3 and 69.3% from the free-throw line on the road this season.
Lafayette has won 4 of its last 6 games, and the Leopards won their last game against Army 73-68 as a 3-point road underdog. Lafayette is ranked 217th by KenPom, with the 210th ranked offense and 227th ranked defense in the nation. Lafayette is led by Junior guard Justin Jaworski, who averages 17.1 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists, and Senior forward Myles Cherry, who averages 10.2 points, 7.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
Colgate is 8-2 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. Colgate has gone 9-1 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, Colgate has scored 78..4 points per game and surrenders 64.4 points per game to opponents, and the Raiders have shot 46.1% from the field, 37.4% from 3 and 74.4% from the free-throw line at home this season.
Colgate has won 4 of its last 5 games, and the Raiders won their last game against Lehigh 83-70 as a 10-point home favorite. Colgate is ranked 121st by KenPom, with the 89th ranked offense and 176th ranked defense in the country. Colgate is led by Junior guard Jordan Burns, who averages 15.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game, and Senior forward Will Rayman, who averages 12.7 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game.
Lafayette is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 versus Colgate, and the under is 7-3 during that stretch. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 for Lafayette and 6-4 in the last 10 games for Colgate.
Colgate has been the better team all season and should win this game, but rather than bet a side I find myself attracted to the total in this game. I’ll play the trends and take the under.