Bradley vs. Valparaiso - 3/8/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
Valparaiso (18-15) at Bradley (22-11)
College Basketball: Sunday, March 8, 2020 at 2:10 pm (Enterprise Center)
The Line: Bradley -3 -- Over/Under: 143
The Valparaiso Crusaders (19-15, CONF 12-9) and Bradley Braves (22-11, CONF 13-7) face off in the Missouri Valley Final with a trip to the big dance on the line. The home team has won the last six games between Valpo and Bradley including the two games this season. This game is on a neutral court, so the home court advantage is a non-factor.
Valparaiso has been the underdog in each of the first two Missouri Valley games and they were able to come away with wins in both games. On Saturday Valpo faced off with Missouri State and it was the offense that was the difference putting up 89 points.
Guard Javon Freeman was the difference for the Crusaders putting up 29 points, nie rebounds, and five assists. On the season Freeman is averaging 18.5 points per game and if they want a chance to win this game, they need another big game from him.
In their last game against Bradley, Valpo dropped 90 points, and a fast pace would be a good idea for them here.
Bradley has had a little different path to this point being the favorite in each of the two games in the conference tournament, and on Saturday against Drake they were able to cover the spread.
The offense for Bradley against Drake was led by Darrel Brown who put up 25 points but the real strength was the defense that gave up only 66 points. The defense for Bradley at times has struggled and that will be the x-factor in this game.
Valpo is 8-2 against the spread in their last ten games overall. The under is 12-4-1 in Bradley’s last 17 neutral site games.
Bradley's defense was good on Saturday and that will continue in this showdown. Look for Bradley to slow down Valpo and that will be enough to win this game, punch their ticket to the tournament, and cover the spread.