Xavier vs. Butler - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Xavier vs. Butler - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports

Butler Bulldogs (21-9) at Xavier Musketeers (19-11)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 8:30 pm (Cintas Center)

The Line: Xavier Musketeers -1.5 -- Over/Under: 128 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Butler Bulldogs (21-9, 9-8 Big East) travel to Cincinnati, OH to take on the Xavier Musketeers (19-11, 8-9 Big East) in a Big East battle at Cintas Center. The last time these teams met on February 12, Butler defeated Xavier 66-61 as a 5 ½-point home favorite.

Butler is 5-5 straight up and 4-5-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. Butler is 3-5 both straight up and against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Butler has scored 64.2 points per game and allowed 65.9 points per game to opponents, and the Bulldogs have shot 44.6% from the field, 33.6% from 3 and 71.8% from the free-throw line in those games.

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Butler has lost 3 of its last 5 games, and the Bulldogs won their last game 77-55 over St. John’s as a 9 ½-point home underdog. Butler is ranked 26th by KenPom, with the 26th ranked offense and 38th ranked defense in the country. Butler is led by Senior guard Kamar Baldwin, who averages 15.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, and Senior forward Sean McDermott, who averages 12 points and 6.3 rebounds per game.

Xavier is 6-4 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Xavier is 4-4 straight up and 3-4-1 against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, Xavier has scored 71.7 points per game and surrendered 65.9 points per game to opponents, and the Musketeers have shot 43.2% from the field, 30.8% from 3 and 66.7% from the free-throw line in those games.

Xavier has won 3 of its last 5 games, and the Musketeers lost their last game 74-80 to Providence as a 4-point road underdog. Xavier is ranked 43rd by KenPom, with the 115th ranked offense and 14th ranked defense in the nation. Xavier is led by Junior forward Naji Marshall, who averages 16.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists, and Senior forward Tyrique Jones, who averages 13.7 points and 11.1 rebounds per game.

Xavier is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against Butler, and the over is 6-4 during that stretch. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 games for Butler and 6-4 in the last 10 games for Xavier.

This game figures to be an all-out war between these Big East foes. Butler had the look of a program headed to a potential Sweet 16 a month ago, but since then has seemed out of sorts. Xavier has had an up-and-down season as well, but they have lost almost every time they’ve gone up against a Q1 team. Even at home, it’s tough to see Xavier winning this game, but I’m still going to roll with the Musketeers to close their season on a high note.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.