Utah State vs. San Diego State - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Utah State vs. San Diego State - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

Utah State (25-8) at San Diego State (30-1)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 5:30 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)

The Line: San Diego State -5.5 -- Over/Under: 130

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The Utah State Aggies (25-8, 12-6 CONF) and the San Diego State Aztecs (30-1, 17-1 CONF) will meet on Saturday, March 7th for the Mountain West Conference Championship game at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. The game will be played at 5:30 PM eastern time. 

Utah State defeated Cinderella #11 seed Wyoming in the Semifinals, 89-82. Wyoming made it a close game for a while, but Utah State's sharpshooting and timely defense/rebounding allowed them to extend their lead late and take control by the later stages of the game. San Diego State took down Boise State in their Semifinal game, 81-68. The game was tied at 40-40 at the half, as Boise State gave SDSU a good run for a while. Both of these teams are "in" when it comes to the Bracketology for the NCAA Tournament. San Diego State is a lock, but Utah State is right on the bubble in the "last four in, first four out" conversation. A win for either of these teams secures a spot in the NCAA Tournament as a conference champion. 

*** Stats for both teams are from games played before March 6th. 

Utah State scores 76.6 points per game on 45.8 percent field goal shooting this season. Utah State's leading scorer is G Sam Merrill, who scores 19.2 points per game. The leading rebounder for Utah State is F Justin Bean, who averages 10.4 rebounds per game. Utah State allows 63.8 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a +12.8 scoring differential so far this season. Utah State also earns 40.9 rebounds, 16.5 assists, 3.1 blocks, and 6.2 steals per game as a team. 

San Diego State scores 75.3 points per game on 47.2 percent field goal shooting this season. San Diego State's leading scorer is G Malachi Flynn, who scores 17.5 points per game. The leading rebounder for San Diego State is F Yanni Wetzell, who earns 6.3 rebounds per game. San Diego State allows 59.2 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a +16.1 scoring differential so far this season. San Diego State also earns 35.3 rebounds, 15.0 assists, 2.8 blocks, and 6.9 steals per game as a team. 

Utah State is 13-18 against the spread this season and 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games. Utah State is also 2-5 against the spread in neutral site games so far this season. San Diego State is 19-11 against the spread this season and 7-3 against the spread in their last ten games. San Diego State is also 4-1 against the spread in neutral site games so far this season. 

The line has not been released yet for this game, therefore I will give my final score prediction and update this article tomorrow morning. I like the way San Diego State has been able to handle adversity in this tournament so far. Boise State and Air Force were able to get off to nice leads early, but San Diego State managed to stay calm and won both games handily. I think San Diego State will be the Mountain West Champions in 2020, and they will defeat Utah State 79-72. 

UPDATE: Now that the line is out, I notice that the total is rather low. This is a championship game, so defense will remain a focus for both teams throughout the game; however, I think these offenses are strong enough to each put up at least more than 65 points, so I will take the over 130 in this one.  

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.