USC vs. UCLA - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports
UCLA Bruins (19-11) at USC Trojans (21-9)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 3:15 pm (Galen Center)
The Line: USC Trojans -3.5 -- Over/Under: 133.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The UCLA Bruins (19-11, 12-5 Pac-12) travel across town to take on their in-city rival USC Trojans (21-9, 10-7 Pac-12) in a Pac-12 showdown at the Galen Center. The last time these teams met on January 11, USC beat UCLA 74-63 as a 1 ½-point road underdog.
UCLA is 9-1 straight up and 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. UCLA is 5-3 both straight up and against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, UCLA averages 67.6 points and allows 68.3 points per game to opponents, and the Bruins have shot 44.3% from the field, 35% from 3 and 66.2% from the free-throw line in those games.
UCLA has won 7 consecutive games, and the Bruins won their last game 69-64 as a 2-point home underdog. UCLA is ranked 79th by KenPom, with the 51st ranked offense and 120th ranked defense in the country. UCLA is led by Junior guard Chris Smith, who averages 13.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, and Sophomore forward Jalen Hill, who averages 9.2 points and 6.9 rebounds per game.
USC is 5-5 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games. USC is 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread in conference home games this year. At home, USC averages 72.8 points per game and allows 63.4 points per game to opponents, and the Trojans have shot 43.7% from the field, 36% from 3 and 68% from the free-throw line in those games.
USC has won 4 of its last 6 games, and the Trojans won their last game 71-61 over Arizona State as a 3-point home favorite. USC is ranked 52nd by KenPom, with the 133rd ranked offense and 25th ranked defense in the nation. USC is led by Freshman forward Onyeka Okongwu, who averages 16.2 points and 8.7 rebounds per game, and Senior forward Nick Rakocevic, who averages 10.7 points and 8.4 rebounds per game.
USC is 5-5 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games against UCLA, 6 of which went under the betting total. The under is 5-4-1 in the last 10 games for UCLA and 8-2 in the last 10 games for USC.
UCLA has been on a roll lately, but USC has been very good at home this year. I’ve got to take the home team when it’s both Senior Night and a rivalry game, so give me the Trojans in this one.