UMass vs. Rhode Island - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UMass vs. Rhode Island - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

Rhode Island Rams (20-9) at UMass Minutemen (14-16)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 7:00 pm (William D. Mullins Center)

The Line: UMass Minutemen +3.5 -- Over/Under: 140.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Rhode Island Rams (20-9 12-5 A10) travel to Amherst, MA to take on the Massachusetts Minutemen (14-16, 8-9 A10) in an Atlantic 10 showdown at Mullins Memorial Center. The last time these two teams played on February 4, Rhode Island beat Massachusetts 73-67 as a 14 ½-point home favorite.

Rhode Island is 6-4 straight up and 4-5-1 against the spread in their last 10 games, Rhode Island is 6-2 both straight up and against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Rhode Island has scored 73.5 points per game and allowed 68.7 points per game to opponents, and the Rams have shot 41.9% from the field, 33.5% from 3 and 66.6% from the free-throw line in those games.

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Rhode Island has lost 4 of its last 6 games, and the Rams were crushed by Dayton 57-84 as a 4-point home underdog in their last game. Rhode Island is ranked 64th by KenPom, with the 129th ranked offense and 40th ranked defense in the country. Rhode Island is led by Junior guard Fatts Russell, who averages 19.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game, and Sophomore guard Tyrese Martin, who averages 12.9 points, 7 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game.

Massachusetts is 6-4 straight up and 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. Massachusetts is 6-2 straight up and 6-1-1 against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, Massachusetts has scored 74.3 points per game and surrendered 67.1 points per game to opponents, and the Minutemen have shot 47% from the field, 36.2% from 3 and 67.6% from the free-throw line in those games.

Massachusetts has won 4 of its last 5 games, and the Minutemen defeated La Salle 75-64 as a 1-point road underdog in their last game. Massachusetts is ranked 170th by KenPom, with the 179th ranked offense and 177th ranked defense in the nation. Massachusetts is led by Freshman center Tre Mitchell, who averages 17.1 points, 7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, and Junior guard Carl Pierre, who averages 12.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game.

Rhode Island is 7-3 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games against Massachusetts, and the under is 6-4 during that stretch. The under is 5-5 in the last 10 games for Rhode Island and 7-3 in the last 10 for Massachusetts.

Rhode Island has had a good season but has really struggled lately, but they’ve actually had more success on the road than at home in conference games this year. Massachusetts has been really good against the number at home, and on their Senior Day, it’s tough to see that trend going the other way. I’ll take the Minutemen in this one.

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Erik’s Pick Massachusetss +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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