UC-Santa Barbara vs. Cal Poly - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UC-Santa Barbara vs. Cal Poly - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Cal Poly (7-22) at UC-Santa Barbara (20-10)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 10:00 pm (Thunderdome)

The Line: UC-Santa Barbara -12.5 -- Over/Under: 133

TV: ESPN3 Stream College Basketball all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Cal Poly Mustangs (7-22, CONF 4-11) and UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (20-10, CONF 9-6) face off in a Big Sky Conference showdown Saturday at the UCSB Events Center. UC Santa Barbara beat Cal Poly 63-45 earlier this season.

It has been a down year for Cal Poly and coming into this game they have lost six games in a row. During the last four games, Cal Poly has also failed to cover the spreads. Away from home this season, Cal Poly’s offense is averaging 65 points per game while the defense is giving up 78.5 points per game. Over the last five games the offense has been better for Cal Poly, but the defense has been worse giving up 81 points. 

The Mustangs are led by guard Junior Ballard who is averaging 13.2 points per game but he is the only player who averages double figures.

UC Santa Barbara has been good this season and coming into this game they have won four of the last five games. Each of the last two games, the Gauchos has failed to cover the spread.

At home this season UC Santa Barbara has a 12-3 record and the defense has been strong giving up 63.6 points per game. 

In the last game against Cal State Fullerton the offense wasn’t as good but the defense locked down giving up only 53 points and that led to a victory. 

The Gauchos are led by guard Max Heidegger who is averaging 16 points while shooting 46.3 percent from the field. 

The over is 9-3 in Cal Poly’s last 12 games overall. The under is 6-2 in UCSB’s last eight games played on Saturday. The under is 6-2 in UCSB’s last eight games played on Saturday. Cal Poly is 2-8 against the spread in their last ten meetings against UC Santa Barbara. The under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings between Cal Poly and UC Santa Barbara.

Cal Poly struggled against UC Santa Barbara earlier this season and it’s going to happen again in this game. Look for Cal Poly to struggle to score and that will be the difference as they fail to cover the spread.

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Shane’s Pick UC Santa Barbara -12,5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.