UAB vs. Old Dominion - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports
Old Dominion Monarchs (13-17) at UAB Blazers (17-13)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Bartow Arena)
The Line: UAB Blazers -2 -- Over/Under: 127
The Old Dominion Monarchs (13-17, 9-8 CUSA) travel to Birmingham, AL to face the UAB Blazers (17-13, 8-9 CUSA) in a Conference USA match-up at Bartow Arena. The last time these teams met on January 4, Old Dominion defeated UAB 58-52 as a 4 ½-point home favorite.
Old Dominion is 6-4 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Old Dominion is 2-6 straight up and 5-3 against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Old Dominion has scored 60.5 points per game and allowed 66.3 points per game to opponents, and the Monarchs have shot 38.5% from the field, 25.4% from 3 and 68.2% from the free-throw line in those games.
Old Dominion has won 4 of its last 6 games, and the Monarchs won their last game against UTSA 84-59 as a 5 ½-point home favorite. Old Dominion is ranked 156th by KenPom, with the 245th ranked offense and 78th ranked defense in the country. Old Dominion has four guards who average double-digit scoring and is led by Freshman guard Malik Curry, who averages 13.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 4 assists per game. Senior forward Aaron Carver leads the team in rebuilding with 10.5 rebounds per game.
UAB is 5-5 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. UAB is 4-4 both straight up and against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, UAB has scored 68.5 points per game and surrendered 64.2 points per game to opponents, and the Blazers have shot 44.8% from the field, 33.3% from 3 and 71.1% from the free-throw line in those games.
UAB has won 3 of its last 5 games, and the Blazers lost their last game against UTSA 59-66 as a 2 ½-point road underdog. UAB is ranked 194th by KenPom, with the 216th ranked offense and 174th ranked defense in the nation. UAB is led by Sophomore guard Tavin Lovan, who averages 12.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2 assists per game, and Freshman Jalen Benjamin, who averages 12.5 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game.
UAB is 5-5 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against Old Dominion, 5 of which have gone over the betting total. The over is 5-5 in the last 10 games for Old Dominion and 6-4 in the last 10 for UAB.
Neither of these programs had the year they were hoping for, but Old Dominion has been the slightly better team in Conference USA this season. The Monarchs have covered the number on the road well this year, but on Senior Night, I tend to go with the home team if I think the match-up is close. Most of the numbers are telling me to take the Monarchs, but I’m going with the Blazers at home.