Tennessee vs. Auburn - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee vs. Auburn - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

Auburn Tigers (24-6) at Tennessee Volunteers (17-13)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Thompson-Boling Arena)

The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -1 -- Over/Under: 134.5

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The Auburn Tigers (24-6, 11-6 SEC) travel to Knoxville, TN to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (17-13, 9-8 SEC) in a Southeastern Conference battle at Thompson Boling Arena. The last time these teams played, Auburn came back from down 17 in the second half to defeat Tennessee 73-66 as a 6-point home favorite.

Auburn is 6-4 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. Auburn is 3-5 straight up and 2-6 against the spread in conference road games this season. In road games, Auburn has scored 70.1 points per game and allowed 72.9 points per game to opponents, and Auburn has shot 38% from the field, 25.3% from 3 and 63.7% from the free-throw line in those games.

Auburn has lost 4 of its last 6 games, and the Tigers lost their last game to Texas A&M 75-78 as a 12 ½-point home favorite. Auburn is ranked 42nd by KenPom, with the 43rd ranked offense and 63rd ranked defense in the country. Auburn is led by Senior guard Samir Doughty, who averages 16.2 points, 4 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game, and Senior center Austin Wiley, who averages 10.8 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.

Tennessee is 5-5 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Tennessee is 5-3 straight up and 3-5 against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, Tennessee has scored 66.3 points per game and surrendered 58.4 points per game to opponents, and the Volunteers have shot 42.1% from the field, 30.8% from 3 and 73.3% from the free-throw line in those games.

Tennessee has won 3 of its last 5 games and won its last game against Kentucky 81-73 as an 8-point road underdog. Tennessee is ranked 57th by KenPom, with the 90th ranked offense and 53rd ranked defense in the nation. Tennessee is led by Senior guard Jordan Bowden, who averages 13.6 points, 4 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, and Junior forward John Fulkerson, who averages 13..6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game.

Tennessee is 5-5 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 match-ups with Auburn, and the over is 8-2 during that stretch. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games for both Auburn and Tennessee.

Tennessee is coming off an emotional come-from-behind victory on the road against Kentucky and Auburn is coming off a shocking home loss to lowly Texas A&M. My rule is usually to take the team that was just disappointed over the team that was filmed dancing in the locker room after a game, and I know Bruce Pearl will have his team ready to play, but Thompson Boling Arena will be raucous and Tennessee has to win this game to keep any realistic hope alive of making the NCAA Tournament. I’ll take the Volunteers at home.

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Erik’s Pick Tennessee -1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.