Middle Tennessee vs. Southern Mississippi - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (9-21) at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-23)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 6:00 pm (Murphy Athletic Center)
The Line: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -2.5 -- Over/Under: 138
The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (9-21, 5-12 C-USA) travel to Murfreesboro, TN to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-23, 3-14 C-USA) in a Conference USA clash at the Murphy Center. The last time these teams played, Middle Tennessee beat Southern Mississippi 61-53 as a 4-point road underdog.
Southern Mississippi is 3-7 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. Southern Mississippi is 1-7 straight up and 3-5 against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Southern Mississippi has scored 62.7 points per game and allowed 74.2 points per game to opponents, and the Golden Eagles have shot 42.7% from the field, 29.7% from 3 and 79.6% from the free-throw line in those games.
Southern Mississippi has lost its last 3 games, and the Golden Eagles were beaten by Rice 57-72 as a 1-point home favorite in their last game. Southern Mississippi is ranked 276th by KenPom, with the 302nd ranked offense and 228th ranked defense in the country. Southern Mississippi is led by Sophomore forward Tyler Stevenson, who averages 12.9 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game, and Junior guard LaDavius Draine, who averages 12.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2 assists per game.
Middle Tennessee is 3-7 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. Middle Tennessee is 1-7 straight up and 3-5 against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, Middle Tennessee has scored 74.4 points per game and allows 74.4 points per game to opponents, and the Blue Raider have shot 43% from the field, 32.2% from 3 and 69.6% from the free-throw line in those games.
Middle Tennessee has lost 6 of its last 7 games, and the Blue Raiders were defeated by UTEP 56-60 as a 2-point home underdog in their last game. Middle Tennessee is ranked 293rd by KenPom, with the 250th ranked offense and 307th ranked defense in the nation. Middle Tennessee is led by Senior guard C.J. Jones, who averages 16.3 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1 assist per game, and Junior guard Antonio Green, who averages 12.5 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game.
Middle Tennessee is 8-2 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games against Southern Mississippi, and the under is 5-4-1 during that stretch. The under is 3-7 in the last 10 games for Southern Mississippi and 5-5 in the last 10 games for Middle Tennessee.
Both of these teams are pretty bad and it’s tough to find a good angle on this game to bet on, so I wouldn’t recommend shoving a lot of money in on either team in this one. But I’ll take the home team on Senior Night and go with Middle Tennessee to cover the small spread.