Miami vs. Syracuse - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
Syracuse Orange (17-13) at Miami Hurricanes (14-15)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Watsco Center)
The Line: Miami Hurricanes +1 -- Over/Under: 149.5
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The Syracuse Orange (17-13, 10-9 ACC) travel to Miami, FL to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (14-15, 6-13 ACC) in an ACC match-up at the Watsco Center. In their last game on January 24, 2019, Syracuse beat Miami 73-53 as an 8 ½-point home favorite.
Syracuse is 4-6 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. Syracuse is 6-3 straight up and 8-1 against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Syracuse has scored 76.3 points per game and allowed 71.9 points per game to opponents, and the Orange have shot 44.5% from the field, 34% from 3 and 77.3% from the free-throw line in those games.
Syracuse has won 3 of its last 4 games and the Orange defeated Boston College 84-71 as a 6 ½-point road favorite in their last game. Syracuse is ranked 54th by KenPom, with the 21st ranked offense and 137th ranked defense in the country. Syracuse is led by Junior forward Elijah Hughes, who averages 19.1 points, 5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, and Junior forward Marek Doleraj, who averages 10.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game.
Miami is 4-6 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games. Miami is 4-5 straight up and 6-3 against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, Miami has scored 73.9 points per game and surrendered 67.9 points per game to opponents, and the Hurricanes have shot 45.7% from the field, 35.9% from 3 and 71.5% from the free-throw line in those games.
Miami has lost its last 3 games, and the Hurricanes were defeated by Virginia 44-46 as a 2-point home underdog in their last match-up. Miami is ranked 106th by KenPom, with the 75th ranked offense and 158th ranked defense in the nation. Miami is led by Junior guard Chris Lykes, who averages 15.2 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, and Senior guard Dejan Vasiljevic, who averages 12.9 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1 assist per game.
Syracuse is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 match-ups versus Miami, and the under is 7-2-1 during that stretch. The over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 games for Syracuse and 5-5 in the last 10 for Miami.
I like to side with home underdogs in spots like this, but Syracuse is the rare team in college basketball that has performed better on the road than at home this season. I see the Orange jumping all over Miami in this game, as it is a bad matchup for the Hurricanes against the length and 2-3 zone of Syracuse. I’ll take Syracuse in this one.