Florida International vs. Western Kentucky - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Florida International vs. Western Kentucky - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (19-10) at Florida International Panthers (18-12)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Ocean Bank Convocation Center)

The Line: Florida International Panthers +1.5 -- Over/Under: 148.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (19-10, 12-5 CUSA) travel to Miami, FL to take on the FIU Panthers (18-12, 9-8 CUSA) in a Conference USA showdown at FIU Ocean Bank Arena. The last time these teams played on February 1, FIU defeated Western Kentucky 81-76 as a 3-point home underdog.

Western Kentucky is 6-4 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Western Kentucky is 4-4 straight up and 5-3 against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Western Kentucky has scored 70.1 points per game and allows 71 points per game to opponents, and the Hilltoppers have shot 42.3% from the field, 31.2% from 3 and 75.6% from the free-throw line in those games.

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Western Kentucky has won 5 of its last 7 games, but the Hilltoppers lost their last game to North Texas 72-78 as a 6 ½-point road underdog. Western Kentucky is ranked 115th by KenPom, with the 68th ranked offense and 187th ranked defense in the country. Western Kentucky is led by Junior guard Taveion Hollingsworth, who averages 16.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, and Senior forward Carson Williams, who averages 13.9 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game.

FIU is 4-6 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games. FIU is 6-2 straight up and 5-3 against the spread in conference home games this season. At home, FIU has scored 80.5 points per game and surrendered 69.9 points per game to opponents, and the Panthers have shot 46.6% from the field, 36.6% from 3 and 64.7% from the free-throw line in those games.

FIU has lost 4 of its last 5 games, and the Panthers lost their last game to Louisana Tech 73-76 as a 9 ½-point road underdog. FIU is ranked 150th by KenPom, with the 173rd ranked offense and 155th ranked defense in the nation. FIU is led by Senior forward Devon Andrews, who averages 15.5 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, and Senior forward Osasumwen Osaghae, who averages 12.9 points and 8.2 rebounds per game.

Western Kentucky is 6-4 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games versus FIU, and the over is 7-3 during that stretch. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games for Western Kentucky and the under is 8-2 in the last 10 games for FIU.

Western Kentucky has been a tough team to figure out this year, because sometimes they look like a team that could make a Sweet 16 and sometimes they look like a team that shouldn’t get an NIT invite. I think the truth lies somewhere in the middle, although the Hilltoppers tend to play one side of the extreme or the other. Here’s hoping they decide to play like a good team, because I’m taking the Hilltoppers.

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Erik’s Pick Western Kentucky -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.