Dartmouth vs. Brown - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dartmouth vs. Brown - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

Brown Bears (14-12) at Dartmouth Big Green (12-16)

College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Edward Leede Arena)

The Line: Dartmouth Big Green -5.5 -- Over/Under: 126.5

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The Brown Bears (14-12, 7-6 Ivy) travel to Hanover, NH to take on the Dartmouth Big Green (12-16, 5-8 Ivy) in an Ivy League battle at Leede Arena. The last time these teams played on February 7, Brown defeated Dartmouth 67-65 as a 3 ½-point home favorite.

Brown is 6-4 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. Brown is 3-3 both straight up and against the spread in conference road games. On the road, Brown has scored 62.4 points per game and allowed 78.1 points per game to opponents, and the Bears have shot 37.8% from the field, 25.3% from 3 and 68.2% from the free-throw line in road games this season.

Brown has lost 4 of its last 6 games, and the Bears defeated Harvard 64-55 as a 10 ½-point road underdog in their last game. Brown is ranked 245th by KenPom, with the 294th ranked offense and 185th ranked defense in the country. Brown is led by Senior guard Brandon Anderson, who averages 17.5 points, 3.8 rebounds and 3 assists per game, and Junior forward Tamenang Choh, who averages 13.4 points, 8.2 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game.

Dartmouth is 5-5 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Dartmouth is 3-3 both straight up and against the spread in conference home games. At home, Dartmouth has scored 69.3 points per game and surrendered 62.8 points per game to opponents, and the Big Green have shot 46.3% from the field, 30% from 3 and 68.5% from the free-throw line in home games this year.

Dartmouth has won 5 of their 7 to close their season after a dismal stretch where they lost 9 consecutive games, and the Big Green were defeated by Yale 61-72 as a 7-point home underdog in their last game. Dartmouth is ranked 193rd by KenPom, with the 268th ranked offense and 97th ranked defense in the nation. Dartmouth is led by Junior forward Chris Knight, who averages 14.6 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, and Junior guard Aaryn Rai, who averages 11.5 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game.

Brown is 6-4 straight up and 3-6-1 against the spread in their last 10 match-ups with Dartmouth, and the over has gone 5-5 during that stretch. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 games for Brown and 5-5 in the last 10 for Dartmouth.

Brown has had the better year, but Dartmouth has played better the last three weeks. Both of these teams are thoroughly below average, and in that spot I usually side with the home team on Senior Night. Give me Dartmouth.

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Erik’s Pick Dartmouth -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.