Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-15) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (13-18)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Cajun Dome)
The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette -3 -- Over/Under: 151.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-15, 8-12 CONF) and the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns’ (13-18, 8-12 CONF) will meet on Saturday, March 7th for the 1st Round of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. The game will be played at Cajundome in Lafayette, LA, and it is scheduled for a 12:00 PM eastern start time.
Arkansas State is coming off a 76-75 road win over Georgia Southern in their last game in the regular season. Both teams have an 8-12 conference record, but Louisiana owns the tiebreaker, thus they will be home in this game. Louisiana is coming off a 108-101 home win over Coastal Carolina. It is odd to see two teams score over 100 points in regulation, but that is Sun Belt basketball for you. Louisiana and Arkansas State just played each other on February 26th, in a game that Louisiana won 77-74 on the road.
Arkansas State scores 70.8 points per game on 43.9 percent field goal shooting this season. Arkansas State’s leading scorer G Marquis Eaton, who scores 13.5 points per game. The leading rebounder for Arkansas State is F Malik Brevard, who earns 5.9 rebounds per game. Arkansas State allows 71.9 points per game, therefore they have a -1.1 scoring differential so far this season. Arkansas State also earns 32.8 rebounds, 14.1 assists, 2.6 blocks, and 6.7 steals per game as a team.
Louisiana scores 73.0 points per game on 41.7 percent field goal shooting this season. Louisiana’s leading scorer and rebounder is F Jalen Johnson, who scores 15.3 points and earns 6.6 rebounds per game. Louisiana allows 76.3 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a -3.3 scoring differential so far this season. Louisiana also earns 34.9 rebounds, 11.5 assists, 3.2 blocks, and 6.0 steals per game as a team.
Arkansas State is 19-10 against the spread this season and 5-5 against the spread in their last ten games. Arkansas State is also 10-4 against the spread on the road so far this season. Louisiana is 13-16-1 against the spread this season and 6-4 against the spread in their last ten games. Louisiana is also 6-7-1 against the spread at home so far this season.
Since Louisiana-Lafayette got the win against these Arkansas State Red Wolves not too long ago, I will take them here and lay a small amount of points. These teams are pretty similar in many facets, and this game should be an exciting one for a large majority of it. I see Louisiana knocking in free throws late to catch a very small cover.