Loyola-Chicago vs. Valparaiso - 3/6/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Loyola-Chicago vs. Valparaiso - 3/6/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

Valparaiso Crusaders (17-15) at Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (21-10)

College Basketball: Friday, March 6, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Enterprise Center)

The Line: Loyola-Chicago Ramblers -3 -- Over/Under: 135.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream College Basketball all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Valparaiso Crusaders (17-15, 10-9 MVC) will meet the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (21-10, 13-5 MVC) in St. Louis, MO for a Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Semifinal match-up at the Enterprise Center. Valparaiso won both the games these schools played against each other this year by a combined 5 points, but Loyola-Chicago covered the spread in both losses.

Valparaiso is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games. Valparaiso is 10-9 straight up and 12-7 against the spread in conference games this season. Valparaiso has scored 71.9 points per game and allows 74.9 points per game to opponents, and the Crusaders have shot 44.2% from the field, 33.8% from 3 and 71.3% from the free-throw line in those games.

Valparaiso has won 3 of its last 4 games, and in their last game, the Crusaders slipped past Evansville in the first round of the MVC 58-55 as a 7-point favorite. Valparaiso is ranked 141st by KenPom, with the 145th ranked offense and 171st ranked defense in the country. Valparaiso is led by Sophomore guard Javon Freeman-Liberty, who averages 19 points, 6 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game.

Get Our Experts BEST BETS For All Of The Games CLICK HERE

Loyola-Chicago is 7-3 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. Loyola-Chicago has gone 13-5 straight up and 8-10 against the spread in conference games this year. Loyola-Chicago has scored 68.9 points per game and allows 62.4 points per game to opponents, and the Ramblers have shot 49.9% from the field, 36.6% from 3 and 65.6% from the free-throw line in those games.

Loyola-Chicago has won 6 of its last 7 games, and the Ramblers squeaked by Bradley 67-66 as a 2-point road underdog in their last game. Loyola-Chicago is ranked 101st by KenPom, with the 162nd ranked offense and the 71st ranked defense in the nation. Loyola-Chicago is led by Junior center Cameron Krutwig, who averages 15.3 points, 8 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game, and Junior guard Tate Hall, who averages 13 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game.

Loyola-Chicago is 8-2 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 meetings with Valparaiso, and the over is 5-5 during that stretch. The over is 5-5 in the last 10 games for Valparaiso and 7-3 in the last 10 for Loyola-Chicago.

These teams have played two very tightly contested games this season already, and in a game where both teams have to win the conference tournament to make it to the NCAA Tournament, I expect both of these programs to lay it all on the line tonight. The line is tight to reflect that and I think it probably ends right on the number, so I’ll take the points with Valparaiso because I think it’s such an even match-up.

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Erik’s Pick Valparaiso +3

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Free Parlay Mitch's NBA Basketball Parlay for 1/27/21 NBA Pick and Prediction

Guaranteed Packages

Guaranteed packages automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.