Indiana State vs. Missouri State - 3/6/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports
Missouri State Bears (15-16) at Indiana State Sycamores (18-11)
College Basketball: Friday, March 6, 2020 at 9:30 pm (Enterprise Center)
The Line: Indiana State Sycamores +1 -- Over/Under: 137 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Missouri State Bears (15-16, 9-9 MVC) travel to St. Louis, MO to take on the Indiana State Sycamores (18-11, 11-7 MVC) in a Missouri Valley Conference Quarterfinal game at the Enterprise Center. The last time these two teams met, Indiana State defeated Missouri State 78-68 as 2-point road underdogs.
Missouri State is 5-5 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games. Missouri State is 13-5 against the spread in conference games this season. Missouri State averages 70 points per game and allows 67.7 points per game this year, and they have shot 41.9% from the field, 33.7% from 3 and 74.8% from the free-throw line in those games.
Missouri State won 4 of its final 6 games to finish the regular season, and they defeated Southern Illinois 84-59 as 6 ½-point home favorites in their previous game. Missouri State is ranked 130th by KenPom, with the 155th ranked offense and 126th ranked defense in the country. Missouri State is led by Senior guard Keandre Cook, who averages 14.6 points and 4.6 rebounds per game, and Junior forward Gaige Prim, who averages 13.6 points and 4.8 rebounds per game.
Indiana State is 7-3 straight up and 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. Indiana State is 9-8-1 against the spread in conference games this season. Indiana State averages 69 points per game and surrenders 66.4 points per game to opponents this year, and they have shot 45.6% from the field, 38.3% from 3 and 71.5% from the free-throw line in those games.
Indiana State closed its season with 4 consecutive victories and won its last game against Valparaiso 71-58 as 6-point home favorites. Indiana State is ranked 108th by KenPom, with the 87th ranked offense and 146th ranked defense in the nation. Indiana State is led by Junior guard Tyreke Key, who averages 15.8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, and Senior guard Jordan Barnes, who averages 12.6 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game.
Missouri State is 8-2 straight up and 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 match-ups against Indiana State, and the over is 7-3 in those games. The over is 9-1 in the last 10 games for Missouri State and the under is 7-3 in the last 10 for Indiana State.
Missouri State and Indiana State have finished their seasons strong, but I have to go with the Sycamores here to advance in the MVC tournament and cover the spread. Give me Indiana State.