Dartmouth vs. Yale - 3/6/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Nell Redmond-USA TODAY Sports
Yale Bulldogs (22-6) at Dartmouth Big Green (12-15)
College Basketball: Friday, March 6, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Edward Leede Arena)
The Line: Dartmouth Big Green +6.5 -- Over/Under: 128.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Yale Bulldogs (22-6, 10-2 Ivy) travel to Hanover, NH to take on the Dartmouth Big Green (12-15, 5-7 Ivy) in an Ivy League match-up at Leede Arena. The last time these two teams met on February 8, Yale defeated Dartmouth 75-57 as a 13 ½-point favorite.
Yale is 8-2 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. Yale is 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread in conference road games this season. On the road, Yale has scored 72.8 points per game and allowed 65.5 points per game to opponents, and the Bulldogs have shot 45.6% from the field, 34.9% from 3 and 72.2% from the free-throw line in those games.
Yale has won 6 of their last 7 games and won their last game 66-63 as 9-point home favorites over Princeton. Yale is ranked 57th by KenPom, with the 76th ranked offense and 59th ranked defense in the country. Yale is led by Junior forward Paul Atkinson, who averages 17.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game, and Senior forward Jordan Bruner, who averages 11.4 points, 9.1 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game for the Bulldogs.
Dartmouth is 5-5 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Dartmouth is 3-2 both straight up and against the spread in conference home games this year. At home, Dartmouth has scored 70.1 points per game and surrendered 61.9 points per game to opponents, and the Big Green has shot 46.5% from the field, 30.1% from 3 and 69.7% from the free-throw line in those games.
Dartmouth has won 5 of their last 6 games and won their last game versus Columbia 76-57 as a 1 ½-point road favorite. Dartmouth is ranked 194th by KenPom, with the 270th ranked offense and 103rd ranked defense in the country. Dartmouth is Junior forward Chris Knight, who averages 14.6 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, and Junior guard Aaryn Rai, who averages 11.2 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game for the Big Green.
Yale is 9-1 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against Dartmouth, and the over is 5-4-1 during that stretch. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 games for Yale and the under is 6-4 in the last 10 for Dartmouth.
Dartmouth has played very well to end the year, and although Yale has dominated this match-up recently and has been the best team in the Ivy League this year, I like Dartmouth to cover as a home underdog in this game. Give me the Big Green and the points.