Valparaiso vs. Evansville - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports
Evansville (9-22) at Valparaiso (16-15)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2020 at 9:30 pm (Enterprise Center)
The Line: Valparaiso -6.5 -- Over/Under: 140.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Evansville Purple Aces (9-22, CONF 0-18) and Valparaiso Crusaders (16-15, CONF 9-9) face off in a Missouri Valley tournament showdown at the Scottrade Center. Valpo won both games against Evansville this year, but they were only able to cover the spread in one of them.
Evansville’s best moment of the season was their win against the Kentucky Wildcats, but it has all gone downhill since that point. Evansville has lost 18 games in a row and a loss in this game would mean they didn’t have one conference win all season. Overall this season Evansville is averaging 66.8 points per game while the defense is giving up 74.6 points.
Deandre Williams is the Purple Ace’s leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game, but he is questionable for this game with a back injury.
Valpo hasn’t had the best season, but they do come into this game having won four of the last six games and covering the spread in five of those. In the last game against Indiana State, the offense for the Crusaders struggled scoring only 58 points and that led to the loss.
Guard Javon Freeman-Liberty is the star for the Crusaders averaging 19.3 points per game while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. In each of the last games he has scored at least 18 points and he has shot at least 46.2 percent from the field. This is a game that Evansville should win and attack their weak defense is the best approach.
The under is 15-6 in Evansville’s last 21 games as an underdog. The under is 14-6 in Evansville’s last 20 against the Missouri Valley. The under is 11-5 in Evansville’s last 16 games overall. Evansville is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games against Valpo.
Evansville hasn’t covered their last four spreads and there is nothing they have done to make it look like anything will change in this game. Look for Evansville to struggle to score and that will lead to an easy win and cover by the Crusaders. With the lack of scoring from Evansville, the under is also a strong play.