Gardner-Webb vs. UNC Asheville - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Gardner-Webb vs. UNC Asheville - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

UNC Asheville Bulldogs (15-15) at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (15-15)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2020 at 2:00 pm (Dedmon Center)

The Line: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -4.5 -- Over/Under: 148 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (15-15, 9-10 BS) travel to Radson, VA for a neutral court game against the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (15-15, 11-7 BS) in a Big South Tournament Quarterfinal matchup at the Dedmon Center. The last time these two teams played, Gardner-Webb defeated UNC-Asheville 70-56 as 1 ½-point road favorites.

UNC-Asheville is 6-4 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. UNC-Asheville is 8-9 against the spread in their 19 conference games this season. UNC-Asheville averages 75.5 points per game and allows 75 points per game to opponents, and UNC-Asheville has shot 46.2% from the field, 34.6% from 3 and 65.9% from the free-throw line in those games.

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UNC-Asheville finished their season by winning 4 of their final 6 games, and they won their game in the 1st round of the Big South Tournament 72-68 as a 2-point favorite over Campbell. UNC-Asheville is ranked 298th by KenPom, with the 240th ranked offense and 316th ranked defense in the country. UNC-Asheville has a score-by-committee approach with 5 players averaging double-digit scoring, and the Bulldogs are led by Sophomore guard Devon Baker, who averages 16.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, and Sophomore guard L.J. Thorpe, who averages 14 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game.

Gardner-Webb is 7-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Gardner-Webb has gone 10-8 against the spread in conference games this season. Gardner-Webb averages 72.3 points per game and surrenders 71.1 points per game to opponents, and they have shot 44.8% from the field, 36.4% from 3 and 69.5% from the free-throw line in those games.

Gardner-Webb finished their year by winning 4 straight and 7 out of their last 8 games. In their last game, Gardner-Webb defeated Radford 70-62 as a 6-point road underdog. Gardner-Webb is ranked 222nd by KenPom, with the 183rd ranked offense and 270th ranked defense in the nation. Gardner-Webb is led by Sophomore guard Jose Perez, who averages 15.2 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game, and Senior forward Eric Jamison, who averages 14.4 points and 5.8 rebounds per game.

Gardner-Webb is 6-4 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 match-ups against UNC-Asheville, 6 of which went over the betting total.  The over is 6-3-1 in the last 10 games for UNC-Asheville and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 games for Gardner-Webb.

Gardner-Webb has been on a roll lately and they have already beaten UNC-Asheville on the road this year. I see no reason to expect a different result Thursday night in Radford, so I’ll lay the points with the (ironically named) Runnin’ Bulldogs.

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Erik’s Pick Gardner-Webb -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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