Boston University Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmen - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Navy Midshipmen (14-15) at Boston University Terriers (18-13)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Case Gym)
The Line: Boston University Terriers -8 -- Over/Under: 126 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Navy Midshipmen (14-15, 8-10 Pat) travel to Boston, MA to take on the Boston University Terriers (18-13, 12-6 Pat) in a quarterfinal match-up in the Patriot League Conference Tournament at Agganis Arena. These teams split their two games this year, with each winning on the other’s home floor.
Navy is 3-7 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. Navy is 3-6 straight up but 5-4 against the spread in road conference games. In road games this season, Navy has scored 63 points per game and allowed opponents to score 66.7 points per game, and Navy shot 40.4% from the field, 25% from 3 and 69.5% from the free-throw line in those games.
Navy has lost 4 of their last 5 games, and the Midshipmen lost their season finale 60-62 to Lafayette as 4-point road underdogs. Navy is ranked 255th by KenPom, with the 256th ranked offense and 259th ranked defense in the nation. Navy is led by Junior guard Cam Davis, who averages 16.4 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, and Sophomore guard Greg Summers, who averages 9.8 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
Boston University is 7-3 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games. Boston University is 7-2 straight up and 3-6 against the spread in conference home games. At home this season, Boston University has scored 75.8 points per game and surrendered 69.2 points per game to opponents, and the Terriers shot 49.2% from the field, 33.9% from 3 and 65.8% from the free-throw line in those games.
Boston University has alternated wins and losses in its last six games and won its last game of the regular season 75-72 over Bucknell as 7 ½-point home favorites. Boston University is ranked 160th by KenPom, with the 161st ranked offense and 188th ranked defense in the country. Boston University is led by Senior forward Max Mahoney, who averages 15.6 points, 8.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, and Junior guard Walter Whyte, who averages 12.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4 Heisenberg jokes a game.
Boston University is 2-3 straight up and against the spread in their last 5 games against Navy, and the over is 3-2 in those games. The over is 5-5 in the last 10 games for Navy and 4-5-1 in the last 10 for Boston University.
It’s conference tournament time and you expect every team to lay it all out there, as any loss will be the last game for a couple hundred or so teams that won’t be getting a postseason invite from any of the tournaments. I’ll take Navy and the points in this one, but I expect Boston University to come out with the victory.