American vs. Bucknell - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

American vs. Bucknell - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Bucknell Bison (13-19) at American Eagles (16-13)

College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Bender Arena)

The Line: American Eagles -5 -- Over/Under: 139 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Bucknell Bison (13-19, 9-10 Pat) travel to Washington, D.C. to take on the American University Eagles (16-13, 12-6 Pat) in a quarterfinal match-up in the Patriot League Conference Tournament at Bender Arena. They split their two games this season, with each team winning on their own home floor, and those games were decided by a total of 5 points.

Bucknell is 4-6 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. Bucknell has gone 2-7 straight up and 5-4 against the spread in conference road games. Bucknell averages 65.6 points per game and surrenders 74.2 points per game to opponents in road games this season, and Bucknell has shot 40.5% from the field, 33.9% from 3 and 73% from the free-throw line in those games. 

Bucknell won 3 of 5 to close their season, and in their last game, they defeated Holy Cross 65-62 as 13-point home favorites in the 1st round of the Patriot League Tournament. Bucknell is ranked 247th by KenPom, with the 286th ranked offense and 201st ranked defense in the country. Four players average double-digit scoring for the Bison, led by Junior guard Jimmy Sotos, who averages 11.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, and Junior forward John Meeks, who averages 11.4 points and 5.4 rebounds per game.

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American is 7-3 straight up and 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games. American is 8-1 straight up and 6-2-1 against the spread in conference home games this season. American averages 74.9 points per game and allows 67.1 points per game to opponents in home games, and American has shot 48.7% from the field, 38% from 3 and 73.3% from the free-throw line in those games.

American won 3 of its final four games to close the season, finishing the year with a 90-47 drubbing of Holy Cross as 9 ½-point road favorites. American is ranked 200th by KenPom, with the 189th ranked offense and 210th ranked defense in the country. American is led by do-it-all Senior guard Sa’eed Nelson, who averages 18.4 points, 5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game, and Senior forward Mark Gasperini, who averages 9 points and 5.2 rebounds per game.

Bucknell is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 match-ups between these teams, 7 of which went under the betting total. The under is 9-1 in the last 10 games for Bucknell and the under is 7-3 in the last 10 for American.

This is a tricky spot because I want to take Bucknell and the points, but American has been rolling lately and shoots it very well on their home court. I’m just going to play the recent trends and take the under in this match-up.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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