Air Force vs. San Diego State - 3/5/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by David Calvert-USA TODAY Sports
Air Force (12-19) at San Diego State (28-1)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 5, 2020 at 2:30 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)
The Line: San Diego State -17.5 -- Over/Under: 145 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Air Force Falcons (12-19, 5-13 CONF) and the San Diego State Aztecs (28-1, 17-1 CONF) will meet on Thursday, March 5th for a Mountain West Conference Tournament Quarterfinal game at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. The game will be played at 2:30 PM eastern time.
Air Force defeated Fresno State, 77-70 in the first round of the Mountain West Conference Tournament on Wednesday afternoon. Air Force pulled off the upset at the neutral site location in Las Vegas. San Diego State will be playing its first conference tournament game against Air Force in this one. San Diego State defeated Nevada on the road, 83-76 in their last regular-season game of the season.
Air Force scores 73.4 points per game on 45.4 percent field goal shooting this season. Air Force's leading scorer and rebounder is F Lavelle Scottie, who scores 15.8 points per game and earns 5.7 rebounds per game. Air Force allows 74.8 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a -1.4 scoring differential so far this season. Air Force also earns 32.9 rebounds, 14.8 assists, 1.4 blocks, and 4.9 steals per game as a team. (Stats are represented by games previous of March 4th).
San Diego State scores 75.3 points per game on 47.1 percent field goal shooting this season. San Diego State's leading scorer is G Malachi Flynn, who scores 17.6 points per game. The leading rebounder for San Diego State is F Yanni Wetzell, who earns 6.4 rebounds per game. San Diego State allows 59.2 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a +16.1 scoring differential so far this season. San Diego State also earns 35.5 rebounds, 15.0 assists, 2.9 blocks, and 6.9 steals per game as a team.
Air Force is 11-19 against the spread this season and 1-9 against the spread in their last ten games. Air Force is also 2-2 against the spread in neutral site games so far this season. San Diego State is 18-10 against the spread this season and 6-4 against the spread in their last ten games. San Diego State is also 3-0 against the spread in neutral site games so far this season.
The line has not been released yet, therefore I will give my final score prediction and update this article tomorrow morning. San Diego State is the powerhouse of this conference, and although they did lose to UNLV in the regular season, I still think they are on their way to a Mountain West Conference Championship. I do not see this game being a problem for San Diego State, and they win 80-64.
UPDATE: Now that the line has been released, I am actually quite impressed that my final score almost exactly matches what oddsmakers were thinking. Of course, neither side I love in this situation, but I will lean the under because of how talented San Diego State's defense is.